Basketball · Uruguay Liga · 29/10, 23:15
Prediction: Bigua vs Defensor Sporting
Team pages: Bigua · Defensor Sporting
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.1Total
Bigua86.4
Defensor Sporting81.7
1X2
Bigua
Defensor Sporting
Recent form · 10 last
Bigua
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Defensor Sporting
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bigua
2–4
Defensor Sporting
(6 last)
- Defensor Sporting98-76Bigua
- Bigua91-90Defensor Sporting
- Bigua79-81Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting100-79Bigua
- Defensor Sporting96-86Bigua
- Bigua87-82Defensor Sporting
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bigua 1482 · Defensor Sporting 1483
| Bigua | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.1 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -4.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.1Bigua 86.4 · Defensor Sporting 81.7
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensor Sporting: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bigua | Defensor Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.7 / 89 | 77.5 / 80.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 91.2 | 72.2 / 83.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 82 |
Est. total168.1
Line O/U172.5
Diff.4.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bigua 2–0–4 Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 Uruguay Liga | Defensor Sporting | 98-76 | Bigua |
| 18/10/25 Uruguay Liga | Bigua | 91-90 | Defensor Sporting |
| 25/01/25 Uruguay Liga | Bigua | 79-81 | Defensor Sporting |
| 09/11/24 Uruguay Liga | Defensor Sporting | 100-79 | Bigua |
| 12/01/24 Uruguay Liga | Defensor Sporting | 96-86 | Bigua |
| 14/11/23 Uruguay Liga | Bigua | 87-82 | Defensor Sporting |
Standings · Uruguay Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bigua | 4 | 4 | 0 | 374 | 333 | 8 |
| 2 | Goes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 375 | 347 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguada | 4 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 292 | 5 |
| 4 | CA Atenas Montevideo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 282 | 324 | 5 |
| 5 | Union Atletica | 4 | 1 | 3 | 313 | 323 | 5 |
| 6 | Urunday Universitario | 4 | 1 | 3 | 337 | 341 | 5 |
| 7 | Penarol Montevideo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 155 | 4 |
| 8 | Malvin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 257 | 4 |
| 9 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 2 | 281 | 284 | 4 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 153 | 3 |
| 11 | Hebraica Macabi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 169 | 3 |
| 12 | Larranaga | 4 | 1 | 3 | 314 | 353 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bigua | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 78-100 L | 73-97 L |
| Goes | 94-97 L | 83-64 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bigua
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Urunday Universitario Uruguay Liga |
99-91 | W |
| 24/10 | Larranaga Uruguay Liga |
94-74 | W |
| 20/10 | Hebraica Macabi Uruguay Liga |
92-86 | W |
| 12/05 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
78-100 | L |
| 09/05 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
82-105 | L |
| 06/05 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
95-98 | L |
| 24/03 | Welcome Uruguay Liga |
91-87 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Atletica Uruguay Liga |
81-76 | W |
| 18/03 | Goes Uruguay Liga |
94-97 | L |
| 14/03 | Cordon Uruguay Liga |
111-76 | W |
Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Goes Uruguay Liga |
83-64 | W |
| 27/05 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
81-93 | L |
| 23/05 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
61-81 | L |
| 20/05 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
51-101 | L |
| 16/05 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
85-78 | W |
| 13/05 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
81-83 | L |
| 10/05 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
80-58 | W |
| 07/05 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
92-90 | W |
| 03/05 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
73-97 | L |
| 29/04 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
88-60 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bigua vs Defensor Sporting?
Our model gives 63% to Bigua.
How many points are expected in Bigua vs Defensor Sporting?
The model estimates 168.1 total points (Bigua 86.4 · Defensor Sporting 81.7).