Basketball · Chile LNB · 10/10, 21:30
Prediction: CSD Colo Colo vs CD Castro
Team pages: CSD Colo Colo · CD Castro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.5Total
CSD Colo Colo83.1
CD Castro77.4
1X2
CSD Colo Colo
CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
CSD Colo Colo
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
CD Castro
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSD Colo Colo
0–1
CD Castro
(1 last)
- CD Castro92-82CSD Colo Colo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSD Colo Colo 1442 · CD Castro 1446
| CSD Colo Colo | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.5 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.5CSD Colo Colo 83.1 · CD Castro 77.4
Match keys
- CSD Colo Colo is a clear favourite (66% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CSD Colo Colo | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78 / 80.8 | 76.1 / 85.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85 / 81.8 | 84.2 / 79.6 |
| Est. result | 83 | 77 |
Est. total160.5
Line O/U159.5
Diff.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Colo Colo 0–0–1 CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 92-82 | CSD Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castro | 6 | 3 | 3 | 495 | 477 | 9 |
| 2 | Las Animas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 404 | 364 | 9 |
| 3 | CD Espanol Talca | 7 | 2 | 5 | 540 | 600 | 9 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 5 | 3 | 2 | 388 | 402 | 8 |
| 5 | CSD Colo Colo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 425 | 409 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSD Colo Colo | CD Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 72-87 L | 84-85 L |
| CD Espanol Talca | 115-76 W | 82-85 L |
| Las Animas | 75-80 L | 77-68 W |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 84-86 L | 72-92 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSD Colo Colo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
72-87 | L |
| 03/10 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
115-76 | W |
| 25/09 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
82-92 | L |
| 23/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
75-80 | L |
| 13/09 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
81-74 | W |
| 06/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
84-86 | L |
| 03/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
67-74 | L |
| 14/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
72-85 | L |
| 09/08 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
72-93 | L |
| 06/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
60-61 | L |
CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
82-85 | L |
| 27/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
84-85 | L |
| 25/09 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
92-82 | W |
| 23/09 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
86-78 | W |
| 17/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
77-68 | W |
| 14/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
74-79 | L |
| 18/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
72-92 | L |
| 14/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
71-82 | L |
| 07/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
56-104 | L |
| 06/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
67-102 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSD Colo Colo vs CD Castro?
Our model gives 66% to CSD Colo Colo.
How many points are expected in CSD Colo Colo vs CD Castro?
The model estimates 160.5 total points (CSD Colo Colo 83.1 · CD Castro 77.4).