Basketball · Chile LNB · 18/10, 01:00
Prediction: ABA Ancud vs Puente Alto
Team pages: ABA Ancud · Puente Alto
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.4Total
ABA Ancud81.3
Puente Alto78.1
1X2
ABA Ancud
Puente Alto
Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Puente Alto
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud
4–2
Puente Alto
(6 last)
- Puente Alto90-77ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud90-77Puente Alto
- Puente Alto77-97ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud84-71Puente Alto
- Puente Alto67-74ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud75-82Puente Alto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ABA Ancud 1458 · Puente Alto 1495
| ABA Ancud | Puente Alto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.4 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +4.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.4ABA Ancud 81.3 · Puente Alto 78.1
Match keys
- H2H favours ABA Ancud: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ABA Ancud | Puente Alto | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.3 / 82.4 | 77.5 / 80.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79 / 82.8 | 82.4 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 81 | 78 |
Est. total159.4
Line O/U154.5
Diff.4.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 4–0–2 Puente Alto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 90-77 | ABA Ancud |
| 11/04/25 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 90-77 | Puente Alto |
| 04/04/25 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 77-97 | ABA Ancud |
| 21/12/24 Chile LNB Cup | ABA Ancud | 84-71 | Puente Alto |
| 23/03/24 Chile LNB | Puente Alto | 67-74 | ABA Ancud |
| 02/03/24 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 75-82 | Puente Alto |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colegio Los Leones | 9 | 8 | 1 | 749 | 645 | 17 |
| 2 | CDU Concepcion | 10 | 6 | 4 | 849 | 837 | 16 |
| 3 | Puente Alto | 11 | 5 | 6 | 871 | 905 | 16 |
| 4 | Deportivo Valdivia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 687 | 595 | 15 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 9 | 5 | 4 | 715 | 721 | 14 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 9 | 3 | 6 | 707 | 736 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol Osorno | 9 | 2 | 7 | 652 | 711 | 11 |
| 8 | Puerto Varas | 9 | 1 | 8 | 690 | 770 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ABA Ancud | Puente Alto |
|---|---|---|
| Colegio Los Leones | 75-85 L | 75-87 L |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 80-93 L | 72-86 L |
| Puerto Varas | 72-73 L | 75-70 W |
| Espanol Osorno | 74-65 W | 80-73 W |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 76-89 L | 77-85 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: ABA Ancud (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ABA Ancud
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-73 | W |
| 09/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
77-90 | L |
| 08/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
75-85 | L |
| 05/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
80-93 | L |
| 03/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
72-73 | L |
| 29/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
79-74 | W |
| 25/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
83-94 | L |
| 17/09 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-65 | W |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
76-89 | L |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
66-88 | L |
Puente Alto
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
72-86 | L |
| 15/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
75-70 | W |
| 12/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
86-79 | W |
| 09/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
90-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
89-76 | W |
| 02/10 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
77-85 | L |
| 01/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
80-73 | W |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
62-86 | L |
| 27/09 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
69-89 | L |
| 18/09 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
75-87 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs Puente Alto?
Our model gives 59% to ABA Ancud.
How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs Puente Alto?
The model estimates 159.4 total points (ABA Ancud 81.3 · Puente Alto 78.1).