Basketball · Chile LNB · 19/10, 01:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia
Team pages: Puerto Varas · Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.6Total
Puerto Varas73.4
Deportivo Valdivia86.2
1X2
Puerto Varas
Deportivo Valdivia
Markets
Over 147.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
3–3
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
- Deportivo Valdivia96-69Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas68-85Deportivo Valdivia
- Puerto Varas104-86Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia76-84Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas87-79Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia65-60Puerto Varas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1422 · Deportivo Valdivia 1586
| Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
159.6 points · Bet365 line 147.5 · +12.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points159.6Puerto Varas 73.4 · Deportivo Valdivia 86.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1422 vs 1586).
- Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (82% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.6 / 84.5 | 87.3 / 72.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 86.4 | 84.6 / 72 |
| Est. result | 73 | 86 |
Est. total159.6
Line O/U147.5
Diff.12.1
Over / Under80% / 20%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 3–0–3 Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 96-69 | Puerto Varas |
| 26/07/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 68-85 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 03/05/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 104-86 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 12/04/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 76-84 | Puerto Varas |
| 22/03/26 Chile Super Cup | Puerto Varas | 87-79 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 18/11/25 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 65-60 | Puerto Varas |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puente Alto | 12 | 6 | 6 | 949 | 975 | 18 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 9 | 8 | 1 | 749 | 645 | 17 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 10 | 6 | 4 | 849 | 837 | 16 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 10 | 6 | 4 | 794 | 788 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportivo Valdivia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 687 | 595 | 15 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 10 | 3 | 7 | 777 | 814 | 13 |
| 7 | Espanol Osorno | 10 | 2 | 8 | 719 | 790 | 12 |
| 8 | Puerto Varas | 9 | 1 | 8 | 690 | 770 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Puente Alto | 70-75 L | 85-77 W |
| Colegio Los Leones | 84-98 L | 65-78 L |
| CDU Concepcion | 91-98 L | 101-85 W |
| ABA Ancud | 73-72 W | 89-76 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
70-75 | L |
| 09/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
84-98 | L |
| 08/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
76-89 | L |
| 04/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
91-98 | L |
| 03/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
73-72 | W |
| 29/09 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
74-79 | L |
| 24/09 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
76-96 | L |
| 17/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
78-82 | L |
| 15/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
68-81 | L |
| 08/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
76-75 | W |
Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
86-58 | W |
| 10/10 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
101-85 | W |
| 02/10 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
85-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
65-78 | L |
| 28/09 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
86-62 | W |
| 27/09 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
92-77 | W |
| 15/09 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
89-76 | W |
| 13/09 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
83-82 | W |
| 18/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
90-58 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-69 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 82% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 159.6 total points (Puerto Varas 73.4 · Deportivo Valdivia 86.2).