Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Korfez Basket vs Tofas

Team pages: Korfez Basket · Tofas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173Total

Korfez Basket87.4

Tofas85.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Korfez Basket Tofas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Korfez Basket 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWWLW

Tofas 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Korfez Basket 4–2 Tofas (6 last)

Korfez Basket100-96Tofas
Tofas80-62Korfez Basket
Tofas98-106Korfez Basket
Korfez Basket106-109Tofas
Korfez Basket91-89Tofas
Tofas77-89Korfez Basket

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Korfez Basket 1494 · Tofas 1506

	Korfez Basket	Tofas
Our model	61%	39%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 173 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173Korfez Basket 87.4 · Tofas 85.6

Match keys

H2H favours Korfez Basket: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Korfez Basket	Tofas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.7 / 90.8	82.5 / 88.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.4 / 83.2	83.2 / 85.2
Est. result	87	86

Est. total173

Line O/U172.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 174.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	2
16:40 +17’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Korfez Basket 4–0–2 Tofas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Turkiye BSL	Korfez Basket	100-96	Tofas
13/12/25 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	80-62	Korfez Basket
29/03/25 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	98-106	Korfez Basket
29/11/24 Turkiye BSL	Korfez Basket	106-109	Tofas
04/02/24 Turkiye BSL	Korfez Basket	91-89	Tofas
22/10/23 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	77-89	Korfez Basket

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Turk Telekom	3	3	0	239	204	6
2	Bahcesehir Koleji	3	3	0	274	241	6
3	Anadolu Efes	3	3	0	265	236	6
4	Korfez Basket	3	2	1	263	254	5
5	Esenler Erokspor	3	2	1	262	254	5
6	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	268	267	5
7	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	246	246	5
8	Galatasaray	3	1	2	261	250	4
9	Merkezefendi Denizli	3	1	2	258	257	4
10	Pinar Karsiyaka	3	1	2	232	236	4
11	Petkim Spor	3	1	2	262	268	4
12	Bursaspor	3	1	2	238	248	4
13	Tofas	3	1	2	256	277	4
14	Besiktas	3	1	2	234	264	4
15	Bordo Basketbol	3	0	3	248	258	3
16	Cayirova	3	0	3	240	286	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Korfez Basket	Tofas
Petkim Spor	91-90 W	73-71 W
Esenler Erokspor	88-79 W	79-87 L
Bahcesehir Koleji	105-112 L	76-78 L
Besiktas	70-102 L	84-98 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tofas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Korfez Basket

LLWLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	91-90	W
04/10	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	84-85	L
28/09	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	88-79	W
10/05	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	83-75	W
02/05	Galatasaray Turkiye BSL	91-87	W
24/04	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	78-82	L
19/04	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	87-100	L
12/04	Tofas Turkiye BSL	100-96	W
06/04	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	105-112	L
27/03	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	70-102	L

Tofas

LLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	79-87	L
03/10	Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL	87-101	L
25/09	Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL	90-89	W
10/05	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	73-71	W
03/05	Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL	87-78	W
25/04	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	76-78	L
17/04	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	84-98	L
12/04	Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL	96-100	L
04/04	Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL	71-91	L
29/03	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	82-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Korfez Basket vs Tofas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Korfez Basket 55% · Tofas 45%).

How many points are expected in Korfez Basket vs Tofas?

The model estimates 173 total points (Korfez Basket 87.4 · Tofas 85.6).