Basketball · Chile LNB · 12/10, 01:00

Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs CD Castro

Team pages: Universidad Catolica · CD Castro

Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.8Total
Universidad Catolica80.9
CD Castro75.9
1X2
64% 36%
Universidad Catolica CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWWLWL
CD Castro 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica 2–4 CD Castro (6 last)
  • CD Castro84-85Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica58-66CD Castro
  • CD Castro85-84Universidad Catolica
  • CD Castro91-65Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica86-79CD Castro
  • Universidad Catolica75-82CD Castro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica 1457 · CD Castro 1472
Universidad CatolicaCD Castro
Our model61%39%
Market65%35%
Estimated total (ours) 156.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points156.8Universidad Catolica 80.9 · CD Castro 75.9

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Castro: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Universidad CatolicaCD Castro
Points F|A (Last 10)72.2 / 79.978.5 / 84.4
Points F|A (Last 5)77.6 / 80.487 / 83.8
Est. result8176
Est. total156.8
Line O/U155.5
Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 2–0–4 CD Castro

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/09/26
Chile LNB
CD Castro84-85Universidad Catolica
15/04/24
Chile LNB
Universidad Catolica58-66CD Castro
04/02/24
Chile LNB
CD Castro85-84Universidad Catolica
29/04/23
Chile LNB
CD Castro91-65Universidad Catolica
19/02/23
Chile LNB
Universidad Catolica86-79CD Castro
29/04/22
Chile LNB
Universidad Catolica75-82CD Castro

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 CD Castro 743 58656611
2 Las Animas 541 4043649
3 CD Espanol Talca 725 5406009
4 Universidad Catolica 532 3884028
5 CSD Colo Colo 624 5145008

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUniversidad CatolicaCD Castro
CD Espanol Talca 74-80 L 82-85 L
CSD Colo Colo 87-72 W 91-89 W
Las Animas 61-96 L 77-68 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castro (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad Catolica

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Date Opponent FT Res.
06/10 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
74-80 L
04/10 CSD Colo Colo
Chile LNB
87-72 W
29/09 Las Animas
Chile LNB
61-96 L
27/09 CD Castro
Chile LNB
85-84 W
15/09 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
81-70 W
08/09 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
75-76 L
04/09 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
62-83 L
18/08 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
76-79 L
16/08 Puente Alto
Chile LNB
67-80 L
10/08 CDU Concepcion
Chile LNB
54-79 L

CD Castro

LLLLWWWLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/10 CSD Colo Colo
Chile LNB
91-89 W
09/10 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
82-85 L
27/09 Universidad Catolica
Chile LNB
84-85 L
25/09 CSD Colo Colo
Chile LNB
92-82 W
23/09 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
86-78 W
17/09 Las Animas
Chile LNB
77-68 W
14/09 Las Animas
Chile LNB
74-79 L
18/08 Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Chile LNB
72-92 L
14/08 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
71-82 L
07/08 Las Animas
Chile LNB
56-104 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs CD Castro?

Our model gives 64% to Universidad Catolica.

How many points are expected in Universidad Catolica vs CD Castro?

The model estimates 156.8 total points (Universidad Catolica 80.9 · CD Castro 75.9).