Basketball · Colombia Liga · 04/10, 23:00

Prediction: Piratas de Bogota vs Caimanes del Villavicencio

Team pages: Piratas de Bogota

Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.5Total
Piratas de Bogota86
Caimanes del Villavicencio83.5
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Piratas de Bogota Caimanes del Villavicencio

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Over 158.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Piratas de Bogota 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLLLWL
Caimanes del Villavicencio 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWWLLL
Head-to-head
Piratas de Bogota 2–4 Caimanes del Villavicencio (6 last)
  • Piratas de Bogota80-78Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Piratas de Bogota76-81Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Caimanes del Villavicencio70-60Piratas de Bogota
  • Caimanes del Villavicencio99-82Piratas de Bogota
  • Piratas de Bogota83-67Caimanes del Villavicencio
  • Piratas de Bogota61-71Caimanes del Villavicencio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Piratas de Bogota 1484 · Caimanes del Villavicencio 1507
Piratas de BogotaCaimanes del Villavicencio
Our model60%40%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 169.5 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +11

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points169.5Piratas de Bogota 86 · Caimanes del Villavicencio 83.5

Match keys

  • H2H favours Caimanes del Villavicencio: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Piratas de BogotaCaimanes del Villavicencio
Points F|A (Last 10)80.5 / 84.188.6 / 84.7
Points F|A (Last 5)81.8 / 91.686.2 / 84
Est. result8684
Est. total169.5
Line O/U158.5
Diff.11
Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Piratas de Bogota 2–0–4 Caimanes del Villavicencio

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/04/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota80-78Caimanes del Villavicencio
12/04/26
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota76-81Caimanes del Villavicencio
05/06/25
Colombia Liga
Caimanes del Villavicencio70-60Piratas de Bogota
04/06/25
Colombia Liga
Caimanes del Villavicencio99-82Piratas de Bogota
01/06/25
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota83-67Caimanes del Villavicencio
31/05/25
Colombia Liga
Piratas de Bogota61-71Caimanes del Villavicencio

Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Motilones Del Norte 211 1751703
2 Piratas de Bogota 211 1701753
3 Caimanes del Villavicencio 000 000
3 Capitanes de Bogota 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piratas de Bogota

WWLLWLLLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
02/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
87-95 L
01/10 Motilones Del Norte
Colombia Liga
83-80 W
27/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
86-91 L
24/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
81-90 L
24/05 Toros del Valle
Colombia Liga
72-102 L
21/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
94-78 W
19/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
62-72 L
17/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
63-71 L
16/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
84-75 W
15/05 Cimarrones
Colombia Liga
93-87 W

Caimanes del Villavicencio

WLWLWWWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/05 Paisas
Colombia Liga
97-105 L
23/05 Paisas
Colombia Liga
81-88 L
22/05 Paisas
Colombia Liga
75-80 L
18/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
79-56 W
16/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
99-91 W
15/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
107-70 W
12/05 Caribbean Storm Islands
Colombia Liga
79-92 L
11/05 Caribbean Storm Islands
Colombia Liga
90-83 W
08/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
87-100 L
07/05 Sabios de Manizales
Colombia Liga
92-82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piratas de Bogota vs Caimanes del Villavicencio?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Piratas de Bogota 57% · Caimanes del Villavicencio 43%).

How many points are expected in Piratas de Bogota vs Caimanes del Villavicencio?

The model estimates 169.5 total points (Piratas de Bogota 86 · Caimanes del Villavicencio 83.5).