Basketball · Colombia Liga · 10/10, 23:00
Prediction: Sabios de Manizales vs Caribbean Storm Islands
Team pages: Sabios de Manizales · Caribbean Storm Islands
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.8Total
Sabios de Manizales86.3
Caribbean Storm Islands78.5
1X2
Sabios de Manizales
Caribbean Storm Islands
Recent form · 10 last
Sabios de Manizales
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Caribbean Storm Islands
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sabios de Manizales
3–3
Caribbean Storm Islands
(6 last)
- Caribbean Storm Islands89-96Sabios de Manizales
- Caribbean Storm Islands80-96Sabios de Manizales
- Sabios de Manizales69-83Caribbean Storm Islands
- Sabios de Manizales85-68Caribbean Storm Islands
- Caribbean Storm Islands95-77Sabios de Manizales
- Caribbean Storm Islands105-90Sabios de Manizales
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabios de Manizales 1436 · Caribbean Storm Islands 1377
| Sabios de Manizales | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.8 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +13.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.8Sabios de Manizales 86.3 · Caribbean Storm Islands 78.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabios de Manizales (rating 1436 vs 1377).
- Sabios de Manizales is a clear favourite (71% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sabios de Manizales | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.5 / 94.2 | 72.5 / 90.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 52.2 / 90.6 | 65.2 / 93.8 |
| Est. result | 86 | 79 |
Est. total164.8
Line O/U151.5
Diff.13.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabios de Manizales 3–0–3 Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 89-96 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 18/04/26 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 80-96 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 18/10/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 69-83 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 17/10/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 85-68 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 06/11/24 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 95-77 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 05/11/24 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 105-90 | Sabios de Manizales |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paisas | 6 | 6 | 0 | 536 | 371 | 12 |
| 2 | Toros del Valle | 4 | 4 | 0 | 392 | 217 | 8 |
| 3 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 6 | 0 | 6 | 383 | 554 | 6 |
| 4 | Sabios de Manizales | 4 | 0 | 4 | 205 | 374 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sabios de Manizales | Caribbean Storm Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Toros del Valle | 40-89 L | 68-88 L |
| Paisas | 63-84 L | 72-107 L |
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | 56-79 L | 92-79 W |
| Motilones Del Norte | 99-107 L | 96-103 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Caribbean Storm Islands (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabios de Manizales
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
40-89 | L |
| 07/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
59-108 | L |
| 04/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
63-84 | L |
| 03/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
43-93 | L |
| 18/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
56-79 | L |
| 16/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
91-99 | L |
| 15/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
70-107 | L |
| 12/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
99-107 | L |
| 10/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-89 | W |
| 08/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
100-87 | W |
Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
72-107 | L |
| 07/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
79-90 | L |
| 03/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
68-88 | L |
| 03/10 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
50-107 | L |
| 30/09 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
57-77 | L |
| 29/09 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
57-85 | L |
| 12/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
92-79 | W |
| 11/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
83-90 | L |
| 08/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
96-103 | L |
| 07/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
71-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabios de Manizales vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
Our model gives 71% to Sabios de Manizales.
How many points are expected in Sabios de Manizales vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
The model estimates 164.8 total points (Sabios de Manizales 86.3 · Caribbean Storm Islands 78.5).