Basketball · Colombia Liga · 04/10, 01:00
Prediction: Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas
Team pages: Sabios de Manizales · Paisas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.8Total
Sabios de Manizales73.7
Paisas88.2
1X2
Sabios de Manizales
Paisas
Recent form · 10 last
Sabios de Manizales
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Paisas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sabios de Manizales
1–5
Paisas
(6 last)
- Sabios de Manizales43-93Paisas
- Sabios de Manizales80-71Paisas
- Sabios de Manizales68-73Paisas
- Paisas95-85Sabios de Manizales
- Paisas101-70Sabios de Manizales
- Sabios de Manizales73-88Paisas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabios de Manizales 1426 · Paisas 1573
| Sabios de Manizales | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.8 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +9.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.8Sabios de Manizales 73.7 · Paisas 88.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paisas (rating 1426 vs 1573).
- Paisas is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours Paisas: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sabios de Manizales | Paisas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.7 / 86.4 | 87.7 / 78.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.8 / 97 | 85.2 / 63.4 |
| Est. result | 74 | 88 |
Est. total161.8
Line O/U152.5
Diff.9.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabios de Manizales 1–0–5 Paisas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/26 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 43-93 | Paisas |
| 16/04/26 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 80-71 | Paisas |
| 15/04/26 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 68-73 | Paisas |
| 05/11/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 95-85 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 03/11/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 101-70 | Sabios de Manizales |
| 31/05/25 Colombia Liga | Sabios de Manizales | 73-88 | Paisas |
Standings · Colombia Liga · LBP 2026-II, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paisas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 255 | 157 | 6 |
| 2 | Caribbean Storm Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 164 | 269 | 3 |
| 3 | Toros del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 50 | 2 |
| 4 | Sabios de Manizales | 1 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 93 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabios de Manizales
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Paisas Colombia Liga |
43-93 | L |
| 18/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
56-79 | L |
| 16/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
91-99 | L |
| 15/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
70-107 | L |
| 12/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
99-107 | L |
| 10/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
94-89 | W |
| 08/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
100-87 | W |
| 07/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
82-92 | L |
| 03/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
60-51 | W |
| 02/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
52-60 | L |
Paisas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
93-43 | W |
| 30/09 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
77-57 | W |
| 29/09 | Caribbean Storm Islands Colombia Liga |
85-57 | W |
| 08/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
73-78 | L |
| 07/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
98-82 | W |
| 04/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
77-110 | L |
| 03/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
101-102 | L |
| 26/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
105-97 | W |
| 23/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
88-81 | W |
| 22/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
80-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas?
Our model gives 85% to Paisas.
How many points are expected in Sabios de Manizales vs Paisas?
The model estimates 161.8 total points (Sabios de Manizales 73.7 · Paisas 88.2).