Basketball · Slovakia Extraliga · 30/09, 18:00

Prediction: Patrioti Levice vs BC Slovan Bratislava

Team pages: Patrioti Levice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.8Total

Patrioti Levice88.1

BC Slovan Bratislava75.8

1X2

81% 19%

Patrioti Levice BC Slovan Bratislava

Recent form · 10 last

Patrioti Levice 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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BC Slovan Bratislava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Patrioti Levice 5–1 BC Slovan Bratislava (6 last)

Patrioti Levice126-76BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava65-69Patrioti Levice
Patrioti Levice93-72BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava73-66Patrioti Levice
Patrioti Levice85-72BC Slovan Bratislava
Patrioti Levice83-71BC Slovan Bratislava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrioti Levice 1627 · BC Slovan Bratislava 1572

	Patrioti Levice	BC Slovan Bratislava
Our model	70%	30%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 163.8 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.8Patrioti Levice 88.1 · BC Slovan Bratislava 75.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrioti Levice (rating 1627 vs 1572).
Patrioti Levice is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Patrioti Levice: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Patrioti Levice	BC Slovan Bratislava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.6 / 74.2	75.9 / 78.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89 / 72.2	76 / 82.6
Est. result	88	76

Est. total163.8

Line O/U164.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.11

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.83

2 (+12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 4.85 · Est. total: 159.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
12:23 +25’	1.11	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Patrioti Levice 5–0–1 BC Slovan Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Patrioti Levice	126-76	BC Slovan Bratislava
24/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	65-69	Patrioti Levice
21/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Patrioti Levice	93-72	BC Slovan Bratislava
19/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	73-66	Patrioti Levice
17/05/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Patrioti Levice	85-72	BC Slovan Bratislava
27/03/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Patrioti Levice	83-71	BC Slovan Bratislava

Standings · Slovakia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BC Slovan Bratislava	1	1	0	94	59	2
2	Prievidza	1	1	0	97	79	2
3	Patrioti Levice	1	1	0	91	75	2
4	Spissky Rytieri	1	1	0	96	82	2
5	Inter Basket	1	1	0	81	74	2
6	Nitra Blue Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Komarno	1	0	1	74	81	1
8	Iskra Svit	1	0	1	82	96	1
9	MBK Handlova	1	0	1	75	91	1
10	BKM Lucenec	1	0	1	79	97	1
11	Kosice Wolves	1	0	1	59	94	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrioti Levice

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	MBK Handlova Slovakia Extraliga	91-75	W
29/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	126-76	W
24/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	69-65	W
21/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	93-72	W
19/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	66-73	L
17/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	85-72	W
06/05	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	77-66	W
02/05	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	105-78	W
29/04	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	94-75	W
26/04	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	100-90	W

BC Slovan Bratislava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	94-59	W
29/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	76-126	L
24/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	65-69	L
21/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-93	L
19/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	73-66	W
17/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-85	L
11/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	79-65	W
08/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	74-81	L
05/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	77-62	W
01/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	77-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrioti Levice vs BC Slovan Bratislava?

Our model gives 81% to Patrioti Levice.

How many points are expected in Patrioti Levice vs BC Slovan Bratislava?

The model estimates 163.8 total points (Patrioti Levice 88.1 · BC Slovan Bratislava 75.8).