Basketball · Slovakia Extraliga · 30/09, 17:00

Prediction: BKM Lucenec vs BC Slovan Bratislava

Team pages: BKM Lucenec

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.6Total

BKM Lucenec81.4

BC Slovan Bratislava87.2

1X2

34% 66%

BKM Lucenec BC Slovan Bratislava

Recent form · 10 last

BKM Lucenec 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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BC Slovan Bratislava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BKM Lucenec 1–5 BC Slovan Bratislava (6 last)

BKM Lucenec90-95BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava97-90BKM Lucenec
BKM Lucenec99-95BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava89-83BKM Lucenec
BKM Lucenec88-93BC Slovan Bratislava
BC Slovan Bratislava106-87BKM Lucenec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BKM Lucenec 1447 · BC Slovan Bratislava 1583

	BKM Lucenec	BC Slovan Bratislava
Our model	43%	57%
Market	32%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 168.6 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.6BKM Lucenec 81.4 · BC Slovan Bratislava 87.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BC Slovan Bratislava (rating 1447 vs 1583).
BC Slovan Bratislava is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours BC Slovan Bratislava: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BKM Lucenec	BC Slovan Bratislava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.9 / 89.4	75.9 / 78.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73.6 / 83.4	76 / 82.6
Est. result	81	87

Est. total168.6

Line O/U166.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.90

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 161.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	2
10:56 +52’	2.90	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BKM Lucenec 1–0–5 BC Slovan Bratislava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BKM Lucenec	90-95	BC Slovan Bratislava
10/01/26 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	97-90	BKM Lucenec
22/11/25 Slovakia Extraliga	BKM Lucenec	99-95	BC Slovan Bratislava
27/09/25 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	89-83	BKM Lucenec
22/03/25 Slovakia Extraliga	BKM Lucenec	88-93	BC Slovan Bratislava
29/01/25 Slovakia Extraliga	BC Slovan Bratislava	106-87	BKM Lucenec

Standings · Slovakia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BC Slovan Bratislava	1	1	0	94	59	2
2	Prievidza	1	1	0	97	79	2
3	Patrioti Levice	1	1	0	91	75	2
4	Spissky Rytieri	1	1	0	96	82	2
5	Inter Basket	1	1	0	81	74	2
6	Nitra Blue Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Komarno	1	0	1	74	81	1
8	Iskra Svit	1	0	1	82	96	1
9	MBK Handlova	1	0	1	75	91	1
10	BKM Lucenec	1	0	1	79	97	1
11	Kosice Wolves	1	0	1	59	94	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BKM Lucenec	BC Slovan Bratislava
Nitra Blue Wings	70-89 L	79-65 W
Kosice Wolves	92-75 W	94-59 W
Patrioti Levice	89-111 L	76-126 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BC Slovan Bratislava (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BKM Lucenec

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	79-97	L
17/04	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	70-89	L
14/04	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	72-81	L
11/04	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	73-75	L
04/04	MBK Handlova Slovakia Extraliga	74-75	L
01/04	Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga	93-90	W
28/03	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	92-75	W
25/03	Spissky Rytieri Slovakia Extraliga	85-95	L
22/03	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	72-106	L
18/03	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	89-111	L

BC Slovan Bratislava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	94-59	W
29/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	76-126	L
24/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	65-69	L
21/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-93	L
19/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	73-66	W
17/05	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-85	L
11/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	79-65	W
08/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	74-81	L
05/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	77-62	W
01/05	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	77-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BKM Lucenec vs BC Slovan Bratislava?

Our model gives 66% to BC Slovan Bratislava.

How many points are expected in BKM Lucenec vs BC Slovan Bratislava?

The model estimates 168.6 total points (BKM Lucenec 81.4 · BC Slovan Bratislava 87.2).