Basketball · Slovakia Extraliga · 30/09, 18:00

Prediction: MBK Handlova vs Nitra Blue Wings

Team pages: MBK Handlova

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.2Total

MBK Handlova76.6

Nitra Blue Wings76.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

MBK Handlova Nitra Blue Wings

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 158.5 points 68%

Recent form · 10 last

MBK Handlova 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLWL

Nitra Blue Wings 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

MBK Handlova 3–3 Nitra Blue Wings (6 last)

Nitra Blue Wings79-78MBK Handlova
MBK Handlova71-81Nitra Blue Wings
Nitra Blue Wings93-71MBK Handlova
MBK Handlova73-66Nitra Blue Wings
Nitra Blue Wings62-82MBK Handlova
MBK Handlova79-59Nitra Blue Wings

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MBK Handlova 1421 · Nitra Blue Wings 1497

	MBK Handlova	Nitra Blue Wings
Our model	52%	48%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 153.2 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -5.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.2MBK Handlova 76.6 · Nitra Blue Wings 76.6

Over / Under 158.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~151.2 pts · strength 7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MBK Handlova	Nitra Blue Wings
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.6 / 82.9	73.3 / 73.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.4 / 84	70.2 / 75.4
Est. result	77	77

Est. total153.2

Line O/U158.5

Diff.5.3

Over / Under32% / 68%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 158.51.83

Under 158.51.83

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 153.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.87 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
11:35 +14’	1.83	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:13 +37’	2.03	1.67
23:25 +22’	1.66▼	2.04▲
00:13 +34’	1.56▼	2.19▲
01:29 +17’	1.63▲	2.09▼
02:44 +4’	1.54▼	2.25▲
03:21 +26’	1.58▲	2.17▼
04:00 +46’	1.49▼	2.34▲
06:32 +14’	1.39▼	2.61▲
08:37 +11’	1.47▲	2.40▼
09:29 +18’	1.52▲	2.28▼
10:42 +8’	1.79▲	1.87▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MBK Handlova 3–0–3 Nitra Blue Wings

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	79-78	MBK Handlova
10/01/26 Slovakia Extraliga	MBK Handlova	71-81	Nitra Blue Wings
21/11/25 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	93-71	MBK Handlova
27/09/25 Slovakia Extraliga	MBK Handlova	73-66	Nitra Blue Wings
09/03/25 Slovakia Extraliga	Nitra Blue Wings	62-82	MBK Handlova
11/01/25 Slovakia Extraliga	MBK Handlova	79-59	Nitra Blue Wings

Standings · Slovakia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BC Slovan Bratislava	1	1	0	94	59	2
2	Prievidza	1	1	0	97	79	2
3	Patrioti Levice	1	1	0	91	75	2
4	Spissky Rytieri	1	1	0	96	82	2
5	Inter Basket	1	1	0	81	74	2
6	Nitra Blue Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Komarno	1	0	1	74	81	1
8	Iskra Svit	1	0	1	82	96	1
9	MBK Handlova	1	0	1	75	91	1
10	BKM Lucenec	1	0	1	79	97	1
11	Kosice Wolves	1	0	1	59	94	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MBK Handlova	Nitra Blue Wings
BKM Lucenec	75-74 W	89-70 W
BC Slovan Bratislava	70-81 L	65-79 L
Iskra Svit	87-66 W	72-74 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MBK Handlova (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MBK Handlova

LLLWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	75-91	L
04/04	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	75-74	W
01/04	Komarno Slovakia Extraliga	65-81	L
28/03	Prievidza Slovakia Extraliga	87-93	L
25/03	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	70-81	L
21/03	Patrioti Levice Slovakia Extraliga	72-80	L
18/03	Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga	87-66	W
14/03	Kosice Wolves Slovakia Extraliga	69-88	L
11/03	Spissky Rytieri Slovakia Extraliga	88-96	L
07/03	Nitra Blue Wings Slovakia Extraliga	78-79	L

Nitra Blue Wings

LWWWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	65-79	L
08/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	81-74	W
05/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	62-77	L
01/05	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	80-77	W
29/04	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	63-70	L
25/04	BC Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Extraliga	65-71	L
17/04	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	89-70	W
14/04	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	81-72	W
11/04	BKM Lucenec Slovakia Extraliga	75-73	W
04/04	Iskra Svit Slovakia Extraliga	72-74	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MBK Handlova vs Nitra Blue Wings?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (MBK Handlova 50% · Nitra Blue Wings 50%).

How many points are expected in MBK Handlova vs Nitra Blue Wings?

The model estimates 153.2 total points (MBK Handlova 76.6 · Nitra Blue Wings 76.6).

Over or under 158.5 points?

Recent history points to under 158.5 points (68%).