Basketball · Chile LNB · 04/10, 01:30
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs CDU Concepcion
Team pages: Puerto Varas · CDU Concepcion
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.7Total
Puerto Varas76.8
CDU Concepcion84.9
1X2
Puerto Varas
CDU Concepcion
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
CDU Concepcion
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
1–5
CDU Concepcion
(6 last)
- CDU Concepcion96-76Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas66-78CDU Concepcion
- CDU Concepcion85-67Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas84-85CDU Concepcion
- CDU Concepcion80-71Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas90-84CDU Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1468 · CDU Concepcion 1606
| Puerto Varas | CDU Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.7 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +3.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.7Puerto Varas 76.8 · CDU Concepcion 84.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDU Concepcion (rating 1468 vs 1606).
- CDU Concepcion is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours CDU Concepcion: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | CDU Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.4 / 80.8 | 89 / 76.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.8 / 82 | 88.8 / 79.4 |
| Est. result | 77 | 85 |
Est. total161.7
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 1–0–5 CDU Concepcion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/26 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 96-76 | Puerto Varas |
| 17/10/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 66-78 | CDU Concepcion |
| 28/09/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 85-67 | Puerto Varas |
| 23/03/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 84-85 | CDU Concepcion |
| 08/02/25 Chile LNB | CDU Concepcion | 80-71 | Puerto Varas |
| 26/01/25 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 90-84 | CDU Concepcion |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 435 | 374 | 10 |
| 2 | Colegio Los Leones | 5 | 4 | 1 | 413 | 367 | 9 |
| 3 | CDU Concepcion | 5 | 4 | 1 | 444 | 397 | 9 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 403 | 408 | 8 |
| 5 | Espanol Osorno | 6 | 1 | 5 | 437 | 476 | 7 |
| 6 | Puente Alto | 6 | 1 | 5 | 459 | 517 | 7 |
| 7 | ABA Ancud | 5 | 2 | 3 | 384 | 395 | 7 |
| 8 | Puerto Varas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 369 | 410 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | CDU Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 78-82 L | 92-87 W |
| Universidad Catolica | 76-75 W | 79-54 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CDU Concepcion (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
73-72 | W |
| 29/09 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
74-79 | L |
| 24/09 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
76-96 | L |
| 17/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
78-82 | L |
| 15/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
68-81 | L |
| 08/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
76-75 | W |
| 04/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
83-62 | W |
| 17/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
95-79 | W |
| 12/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
69-96 | L |
| 08/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
82-86 | L |
CDU Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
92-87 | W |
| 28/09 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
87-59 | W |
| 24/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-76 | W |
| 16/09 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
72-79 | L |
| 15/09 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
97-96 | W |
| 15/08 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
103-80 | W |
| 13/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
97-76 | W |
| 10/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
79-54 | W |
| 09/08 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
93-72 | W |
| 04/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
74-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs CDU Concepcion?
Our model gives 72% to CDU Concepcion.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs CDU Concepcion?
The model estimates 161.7 total points (Puerto Varas 76.8 · CDU Concepcion 84.9).