Basketball · Chile LNB · 04/10, 01:00

Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs CSD Colo Colo

Team pages: Universidad Catolica · CSD Colo Colo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.8Total

Universidad Catolica76.8

CSD Colo Colo75

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Universidad Catolica CSD Colo Colo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 142.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad Catolica 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWWL

CSD Colo Colo 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Universidad Catolica 4–2 CSD Colo Colo (6 last)

CSD Colo Colo70-81Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica70-69CSD Colo Colo
CSD Colo Colo87-64Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica78-70CSD Colo Colo
Universidad Catolica48-70CSD Colo Colo
CSD Colo Colo58-60Universidad Catolica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica 1456 · CSD Colo Colo 1436

	Universidad Catolica	CSD Colo Colo
Our model	65%	35%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 151.8 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +9.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.8Universidad Catolica 76.8 · CSD Colo Colo 75

Match keys

H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Universidad Catolica	CSD Colo Colo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	73.4 / 81.4	77.5 / 80.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72.8 / 81.8	87.4 / 81.6
Est. result	77	75

Est. total151.8

Line O/U142.5

Diff.9.3

Over / Under85% / 15%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 142.51.83

Under 142.51.83

Diff.: 13.7 · Est. total: 156.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.74▼	Pinn 1.76 ★
2	1.87 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
13:05 +11’	1.80	1.87
22:30 +16’	1.74▼	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
03:09 +54’	1.70	1.91
06:38 +21’	1.70▼	1.91
17:38 +1’	1.70▲	1.91
20:18 +3’	1.75▲	1.93▲
22:29 +17’	1.76▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 4–0–2 CSD Colo Colo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	70-81	Universidad Catolica
09/07/26 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	70-69	CSD Colo Colo
01/05/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	87-64	Universidad Catolica
10/04/26 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	78-70	CSD Colo Colo
18/11/25 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	48-70	CSD Colo Colo
15/11/25 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	58-60	Universidad Catolica

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Las Animas	5	4	1	404	364	9
2	CD Castro	5	3	2	413	392	8
3	CSD Colo Colo	4	2	2	353	322	6
4	Universidad Catolica	3	2	1	227	250	5
5	CD Espanol Talca	5	0	5	375	444	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad Catolica	CSD Colo Colo
Las Animas	61-96 L	75-80 L
CD Castro	85-84 W	82-92 L
CD Espanol Talca	81-70 W	115-76 W
Colegio Los Leones	76-79 L	60-61 L
Puente Alto	67-80 L	72-85 L
CDU Concepcion	54-79 L	72-93 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Colo Colo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad Catolica

WLLLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/09	Las Animas Chile LNB	61-96	L
27/09	CD Castro Chile LNB	85-84	W
15/09	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	81-70	W
08/09	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	75-76	L
04/09	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	62-83	L
18/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	76-79	L
16/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	67-80	L
10/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	54-79	L
08/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	74-87	L
01/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	99-80	W

CSD Colo Colo

LLLLLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	115-76	W
25/09	CD Castro Chile LNB	82-92	L
23/09	Las Animas Chile LNB	75-80	L
13/09	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	81-74	W
06/09	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	84-86	L
03/09	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	67-74	L
14/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	72-85	L
09/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	72-93	L
06/08	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	60-61	L
03/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	67-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs CSD Colo Colo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Universidad Catolica 55% · CSD Colo Colo 45%).

How many points are expected in Universidad Catolica vs CSD Colo Colo?

The model estimates 151.8 total points (Universidad Catolica 76.8 · CSD Colo Colo 75).