Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 29/10, 17:00

Prediction: Mazeikiai vs Suduva Mantinga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.6Total

Mazeikiai75.4

Suduva Mantinga87.2

1X2

20% 80%

Mazeikiai Suduva Mantinga

Recent form · 10 last

Mazeikiai 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLLL

Suduva Mantinga 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Mazeikiai 2–4 Suduva Mantinga (6 last)

Suduva Mantinga99-70Mazeikiai
Suduva Mantinga94-71Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai90-91Suduva Mantinga
Suduva Mantinga83-92Mazeikiai
Suduva Mantinga89-74Mazeikiai
Mazeikiai71-67Suduva Mantinga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mazeikiai 1384 · Suduva Mantinga 1585

	Mazeikiai	Suduva Mantinga
Our model	35%	65%
Market	16%	84%

Estimated total (ours) 162.6 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +6.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.6Mazeikiai 75.4 · Suduva Mantinga 87.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suduva Mantinga (rating 1384 vs 1585).
Suduva Mantinga is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Suduva Mantinga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mazeikiai	Suduva Mantinga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.2 / 84.5	83.4 / 75.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73.2 / 85.4	91.6 / 79.6
Est. result	75	87

Est. total162.6

Line O/U156.5

Diff.6.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.75

21.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.83

2 (-12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 156.51.83

Under 156.51.83

Diff.: 2.5 · Est. total: 159

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	2
10:20 +26’	5.75	1.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:25 +21’	5.51	1.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mazeikiai 2–0–4 Suduva Mantinga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	99-70	Mazeikiai
06/12/25 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	94-71	Mazeikiai
13/11/25 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	90-91	Suduva Mantinga
21/04/23 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	83-92	Mazeikiai
09/03/23 Lithuania NKL	Suduva Mantinga	89-74	Mazeikiai
11/02/23 Lithuania NKL	Mazeikiai	71-67	Suduva Mantinga

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	8	8	0	691	561
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	7	7	0	635	509
3	Vytis	5	4	1	484	460
4	Palangos Olimpas	8	6	2	734	625
5	Suduva Mantinga	6	4	2	545	478
6	Silute Silute	6	4	2	491	461
7	Plunges Olimpas	8	5	3	666	649
8	Omega-Tauras	8	5	3	705	667
9	Neptunas 2	8	5	3	634	611
10	Zalgiris 2	8	4	4	775	766
11	Alytaus Patriotai	8	4	4	679	707
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	7	3	4	586	599
13	Kedainiu SC	8	3	5	607	664
14	Stekas	8	3	5	661	720
15	Kretinga	8	1	7	643	723
16	Mazeikiai	8	1	7	583	668
17	Rytas 2	8	0	8	588	698
18	Atletas	7	0	7	532	673

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mazeikiai	Suduva Mantinga
Neptunas 2	77-90 L	76-68 W
Telsiai	72-83 L	69-71 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Suduva Mantinga (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mazeikiai

LLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	70-74	L
22/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	72-80	L
17/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	77-90	L
15/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	85-92	L
10/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	62-91	L
08/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-83	L
03/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	75-72	W
01/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	70-86	L
23/03	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	72-85	L
20/03	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	87-92	L

Suduva Mantinga

WWLWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	113-63	W
24/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	69-71	L
17/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	82-87	L
15/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	88-83	W
10/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	106-94	W
08/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	87-80	W
09/05	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	76-68	W
07/05	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	71-79	L
02/05	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	67-65	W
30/04	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	75-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mazeikiai vs Suduva Mantinga?

Our model gives 80% to Suduva Mantinga.

How many points are expected in Mazeikiai vs Suduva Mantinga?

The model estimates 162.6 total points (Mazeikiai 75.4 · Suduva Mantinga 87.2).