Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Atletas vs Neptunas 2

Team pages: Neptunas 2

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.5Total

Atletas79.2

Neptunas 280.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Atletas Neptunas 2

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Atletas 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Neptunas 2 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Atletas 2–4 Neptunas 2 (6 last)

Neptunas 289-76Atletas
Atletas77-82Neptunas 2
Neptunas 269-68Atletas
Atletas77-83Neptunas 2
Atletas88-54Neptunas 2
Neptunas 281-86Atletas

Model analysis

Estimated points159.5Atletas 79.2 · Neptunas 2 80.3

Match keys

H2H favours Neptunas 2: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Atletas	Neptunas 2
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.6 / 93.6	76.4 / 75
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.4 / 94.6	74.6 / 70.8
Est. result	79	80

Est. total159.5

Line O/U161.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.83

Under 161.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 161.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.15 → 4.15	Pinn 4.15
2	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	2
05:36 +15’	4.15	1.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletas 2–0–4 Neptunas 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/24 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	89-76	Atletas
18/01/24 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	77-82	Neptunas 2
06/01/24 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	69-68	Atletas
11/11/23 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	77-83	Neptunas 2
24/11/22 Lithuania NKL	Atletas	88-54	Neptunas 2
08/10/22 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	81-86	Atletas

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	11	11	0	985	788
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	10	9	1	890	753
3	Palangos Olimpas	11	9	2	1030	892
4	Silute Silute	10	7	3	822	805
5	Suduva Mantinga	10	7	3	929	794
6	Vytis	9	6	3	866	806
7	Neptunas 2	11	7	4	855	826
8	Alytaus Patriotai	11	6	5	948	958
9	Plunges Olimpas	11	6	5	890	868
10	Omega-Tauras	11	6	5	956	921
11	Zalgiris 2	11	5	6	1052	1061
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	11	5	6	911	943
13	Kedainiu SC	11	4	7	834	918
14	Stekas	11	3	8	875	1001
15	Kretinga	11	2	9	883	981
16	Mazeikiai	11	2	9	842	966
17	Atletas	10	1	9	776	936
18	Rytas 2	11	0	11	841	968

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletas	Neptunas 2
Mazeikiai	88-97 L	90-77 W
Telsiai	76-100 L	72-85 L
Suduva Mantinga	63-113 L	75-94 L
Vytis	85-97 L	84-88 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Neptunas 2 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletas

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	80-66	W
31/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	88-97	L
29/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	76-100	L
27/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	63-113	L
22/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	85-97	L
17/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	72-84	L
15/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	83-107	L
10/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	75-86	L
08/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	76-84	L
03/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	78-102	L

Neptunas 2

LLWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	75-94	L
03/11	Stekas Lithuania NKL	87-64	W
29/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	59-57	W
24/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	74-62	W
22/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	78-77	W
17/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	90-77	W
15/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-85	L
10/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	73-70	W
06/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	84-88	L
03/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	72-76	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletas vs Neptunas 2?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Atletas 47% · Neptunas 2 53%).

How many points are expected in Atletas vs Neptunas 2?

The model estimates 159.5 total points (Atletas 79.2 · Neptunas 2 80.3).