Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Stekas vs Alytaus Patriotai

Team pages: Stekas · Alytaus Patriotai

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.3Total

Stekas86.7

Alytaus Patriotai85.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

Stekas Alytaus Patriotai

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Stekas 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLL

Alytaus Patriotai 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWLW

Model analysis

Estimated points172.3Stekas 86.7 · Alytaus Patriotai 85.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Stekas	Alytaus Patriotai
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.2 / 91.4	86.1 / 88.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	71.6 / 91	86.8 / 82.2
Est. result	87	86

Est. total172.3

Line O/U167.5

Diff.4.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.84

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 5.45 · Est. total: 172.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.18 → 3.18	Pinn 3.18
2	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
19:48 +16’	3.18	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Lithuania NKL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	10	10	0	882	725
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	9	8	1	793	667
3	Palangos Olimpas	10	8	2	930	806
4	Silute Silute	9	7	2	759	702
5	Neptunas 2	10	7	3	780	732
6	Suduva Mantinga	9	6	3	835	719
7	Vytis	8	5	3	765	729
8	Plunges Olimpas	10	6	4	814	781
9	Omega-Tauras	10	6	4	870	824
10	Alytaus Patriotai	10	5	5	861	882
11	Zalgiris 2	10	4	6	957	971
12	Kedainiu SC	10	4	6	768	838
13	Vilkaviskio Perlas	10	4	6	814	869
14	Stekas	10	3	7	801	904
15	Kretinga	10	2	8	797	881
16	Mazeikiai	10	2	8	765	865
17	Rytas 2	10	0	10	751	873
18	Atletas	9	0	9	696	870

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stekas	Alytaus Patriotai
Palangos Olimpas	76-107 L	81-84 L
Kretinga	99-95 W	90-70 W
Zalgiris 2	108-87 W	83-108 L
Silute Silute	72-80 L	77-92 L
Vytis	89-90 L	110-105 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Alytaus Patriotai (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stekas

LLWWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/11	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	74-97	L
03/11	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	64-87	L
29/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	76-97	L
24/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	74-70	W
22/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	70-104	L
17/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	76-107	L
10/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	99-95	W
08/10	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	108-87	W
03/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	72-80	L
01/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	89-90	L

Alytaus Patriotai

LLLWWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	101-91	W
29/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	81-84	L
24/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	85-74	W
22/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	90-70	W
17/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	77-92	L
15/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	110-105	W
10/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	86-75	W
08/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	80-87	L
01/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	68-96	L
28/09	Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL	83-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stekas vs Alytaus Patriotai?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Stekas 53% · Alytaus Patriotai 47%).

How many points are expected in Stekas vs Alytaus Patriotai?

The model estimates 172.3 total points (Stekas 86.7 · Alytaus Patriotai 85.6).