Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Vilkaviskio Perlas vs Rytas 2
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Vilkaviskio Perlas88.3
Rytas 276.1
1X2
Vilkaviskio Perlas
Rytas 2
Recent form · 10 last
Vilkaviskio Perlas
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Rytas 2
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vilkaviskio Perlas
4–2
Rytas 2
(6 last)
- Rytas 287-74Vilkaviskio Perlas
- Rytas 271-67Vilkaviskio Perlas
- Vilkaviskio Perlas86-70Rytas 2
- Rytas 263-74Vilkaviskio Perlas
- Vilkaviskio Perlas92-76Rytas 2
- Rytas 287-96Vilkaviskio Perlas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilkaviskio Perlas 1457 · Rytas 2 1389
| Vilkaviskio Perlas | Rytas 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Vilkaviskio Perlas 88.3 · Rytas 2 76.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilkaviskio Perlas (rating 1457 vs 1389).
- Vilkaviskio Perlas is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Vilkaviskio Perlas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Vilkaviskio Perlas | Rytas 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83 / 87.3 | 75.5 / 88.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.6 / 85.4 | 69.6 / 86.6 |
| Est. result | 88 | 76 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U162.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilkaviskio Perlas 4–0–2 Rytas 2
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Lithuania NKL | Rytas 2 | 87-74 | Vilkaviskio Perlas |
| 27/01/26 Lithuania NKL | Rytas 2 | 71-67 | Vilkaviskio Perlas |
| 04/10/25 Lithuania NKL | Vilkaviskio Perlas | 86-70 | Rytas 2 |
| 21/12/24 Lithuania NKL | Rytas 2 | 63-74 | Vilkaviskio Perlas |
| 26/10/24 Lithuania NKL | Vilkaviskio Perlas | 92-76 | Rytas 2 |
| 17/12/23 Lithuania NKL | Rytas 2 | 87-96 | Vilkaviskio Perlas |
Standings · Lithuania NKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Telsiai | 8 | 8 | 0 | 691 | 561 | 0 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas-Karys | 7 | 7 | 0 | 635 | 509 | 0 |
| 3 | Vytis | 5 | 4 | 1 | 484 | 460 | 0 |
| 4 | Palangos Olimpas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 734 | 625 | 0 |
| 5 | Suduva Mantinga | 6 | 4 | 2 | 545 | 478 | 0 |
| 6 | Silute Silute | 6 | 4 | 2 | 491 | 461 | 0 |
| 7 | Plunges Olimpas | 8 | 5 | 3 | 666 | 649 | 0 |
| 8 | Omega-Tauras | 8 | 5 | 3 | 705 | 667 | 0 |
| 9 | Neptunas 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 634 | 611 | 0 |
| 10 | Zalgiris 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 775 | 766 | 0 |
| 11 | Alytaus Patriotai | 8 | 4 | 4 | 679 | 707 | 0 |
| 12 | Vilkaviskio Perlas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 586 | 599 | 0 |
| 13 | Kedainiu SC | 8 | 3 | 5 | 607 | 664 | 0 |
| 14 | Stekas | 8 | 3 | 5 | 661 | 720 | 0 |
| 15 | Kretinga | 8 | 1 | 7 | 643 | 723 | 0 |
| 16 | Mazeikiai | 8 | 1 | 7 | 583 | 668 | 0 |
| 17 | Rytas 2 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 588 | 698 | 0 |
| 18 | Atletas | 7 | 0 | 7 | 532 | 673 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vilkaviskio Perlas | Rytas 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Palangos Olimpas | 81-87 L | 81-103 L |
| Omega-Tauras | 82-73 W | 91-99 L |
| Telsiai | 70-94 L | 77-91 L |
| Kretinga | 84-65 W | 80-94 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vilkaviskio Perlas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilkaviskio Perlas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
81-87 | L |
| 22/10 | Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL |
82-73 | W |
| 17/10 | Telsiai Lithuania NKL |
70-94 | L |
| 15/10 | Silute Silute Lithuania NKL |
81-97 | L |
| 08/10 | Atletas Lithuania NKL |
84-76 | W |
| 03/10 | Kretinga Lithuania NKL |
84-65 | W |
| 01/10 | Zalgiris 2 Lithuania NKL |
104-107 | L |
| 28/04 | Vytis Lithuania NKL |
75-86 | L |
| 25/04 | Vytis Lithuania NKL |
78-87 | L |
| 23/04 | Vytis Lithuania NKL |
91-101 | L |
Rytas 2
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL |
62-74 | L |
| 22/10 | Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL |
69-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
64-89 | L |
| 15/10 | Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL |
72-84 | L |
| 10/10 | Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL |
81-103 | L |
| 08/10 | Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL |
91-99 | L |
| 03/10 | Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL |
72-75 | L |
| 01/10 | Telsiai Lithuania NKL |
77-91 | L |
| 22/03 | Kretinga Lithuania NKL |
80-94 | L |
| 19/03 | Kretinga Lithuania NKL |
87-93 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilkaviskio Perlas vs Rytas 2?
Our model gives 81% to Vilkaviskio Perlas.
How many points are expected in Vilkaviskio Perlas vs Rytas 2?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Vilkaviskio Perlas 88.3 · Rytas 2 76.1).