Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 29/10, 17:00

Prediction: Neptunas 2 vs Plunges Olimpas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.8Total

Neptunas 281.6

Plunges Olimpas77.3

1X2

62% 38%

Neptunas 2 Plunges Olimpas

Recent form · 10 last

Neptunas 2 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Plunges Olimpas 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Neptunas 2 2–4 Plunges Olimpas (6 last)

Neptunas 2100-106Plunges Olimpas
Plunges Olimpas65-90Neptunas 2
Neptunas 266-90Plunges Olimpas
Neptunas 282-85Plunges Olimpas
Neptunas 286-80Plunges Olimpas
Plunges Olimpas84-74Neptunas 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Neptunas 2 1542 · Plunges Olimpas 1555

	Neptunas 2	Plunges Olimpas
Our model	61%	39%
Market	63%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 158.8 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.8Neptunas 2 81.6 · Plunges Olimpas 77.3

Match keys

H2H favours Plunges Olimpas: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Neptunas 2	Plunges Olimpas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.1 / 75.8	84.3 / 81
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.4 / 74.2	82.6 / 76.4
Est. result	82	77

Est. total158.8

Line O/U159.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.83

2 (+4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 159.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.52 ★
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	2
10:43 +2’	1.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:12 +33’	1.52	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Neptunas 2 2–0–4 Plunges Olimpas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	100-106	Plunges Olimpas
17/01/26 Lithuania NKL	Plunges Olimpas	65-90	Neptunas 2
22/11/25 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	66-90	Plunges Olimpas
22/02/25 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	82-85	Plunges Olimpas
28/11/24 Lithuania NKL	Neptunas 2	86-80	Plunges Olimpas
09/11/24 Lithuania NKL	Plunges Olimpas	84-74	Neptunas 2

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	8	8	0	691	561
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	7	7	0	635	509
3	Vytis	5	4	1	484	460
4	Palangos Olimpas	8	6	2	734	625
5	Suduva Mantinga	6	4	2	545	478
6	Silute Silute	6	4	2	491	461
7	Plunges Olimpas	8	5	3	666	649
8	Omega-Tauras	8	5	3	705	667
9	Neptunas 2	8	5	3	634	611
10	Zalgiris 2	8	4	4	775	766
11	Alytaus Patriotai	8	4	4	679	707
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	7	3	4	586	599
13	Kedainiu SC	8	3	5	607	664
14	Stekas	8	3	5	661	720
15	Kretinga	8	1	7	643	723
16	Mazeikiai	8	1	7	583	668
17	Rytas 2	8	0	8	588	698
18	Atletas	7	0	7	532	673

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Neptunas 2	Plunges Olimpas
Rytas 2	74-62 W	89-64 W
Palangos Olimpas	78-77 W	76-102 L
Mazeikiai	90-77 W	80-72 W
Telsiai	72-85 L	70-90 L
Silute Silute	73-70 W	85-92 L
Omega-Tauras	72-76 L	93-82 W
Kretinga	91-76 W	98-85 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Neptunas 2 (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neptunas 2

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	74-62	W
22/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	78-77	W
17/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	90-77	W
15/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	72-85	L
10/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	73-70	W
06/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	84-88	L
03/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	72-76	L
01/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	91-76	W
09/05	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	68-76	L
07/05	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	79-71	W

Plunges Olimpas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	75-62	W
22/10	Mazeikiai Lithuania NKL	80-72	W
17/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	89-64	W
15/10	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	76-102	L
10/10	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	93-82	W
08/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	98-85	W
03/10	Telsiai Lithuania NKL	70-90	L
01/10	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	85-92	L
14/03	Omega-Tauras Lithuania NKL	98-89	W
12/03	Palangos Olimpas Lithuania NKL	79-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neptunas 2 vs Plunges Olimpas?

Our model gives 62% to Neptunas 2.

How many points are expected in Neptunas 2 vs Plunges Olimpas?

The model estimates 158.8 total points (Neptunas 2 81.6 · Plunges Olimpas 77.3).