Basketball · Lithuania NKL · 29/10, 17:00

Prediction: Zalgiris 2 vs Omega-Tauras

Prediction summary

Estimated points

182.2Total

Zalgiris 291.1

Omega-Tauras91.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Zalgiris 2 Omega-Tauras

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Zalgiris 2 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLW

Omega-Tauras 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Zalgiris 2 2–3 Omega-Tauras (5 last)

Omega-Tauras83-72Zalgiris 2
Zalgiris 287-81Omega-Tauras
Zalgiris 281-77Omega-Tauras
Zalgiris 271-73Omega-Tauras
Omega-Tauras80-76Zalgiris 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zalgiris 2 1479 · Omega-Tauras 1489

	Zalgiris 2	Omega-Tauras
Our model	61%	39%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 182.2 points · Bet365 line 179.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points182.2Zalgiris 2 91.1 · Omega-Tauras 91.1

Match keys

H2H favours Omega-Tauras: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zalgiris 2	Omega-Tauras
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.1 / 93.4	88.9 / 88.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.6 / 94.2	83 / 86.6
Est. result	91	91

Est. total182.2

Line O/U179.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 179.51.83

Under 179.51.83

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 181.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.10 ★
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
10:40 +6’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:13 +32’	2.10	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalgiris 2 2–0–3 Omega-Tauras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	83-72	Zalgiris 2
04/10/25 Lithuania NKL	Zalgiris 2	87-81	Omega-Tauras
20/02/25 Lithuania NKL	Zalgiris 2	81-77	Omega-Tauras
05/12/24 Lithuania NKL	Zalgiris 2	71-73	Omega-Tauras
14/11/24 Lithuania NKL	Omega-Tauras	80-76	Zalgiris 2

Standings · Lithuania NKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Telsiai	8	8	0	691	561
2	Jurbarkas-Karys	7	7	0	635	509
3	Vytis	5	4	1	484	460
4	Palangos Olimpas	8	6	2	734	625
5	Suduva Mantinga	6	4	2	545	478
6	Silute Silute	6	4	2	491	461
7	Plunges Olimpas	8	5	3	666	649
8	Omega-Tauras	8	5	3	705	667
9	Neptunas 2	8	5	3	634	611
10	Zalgiris 2	8	4	4	775	766
11	Alytaus Patriotai	8	4	4	679	707
12	Vilkaviskio Perlas	7	3	4	586	599
13	Kedainiu SC	8	3	5	607	664
14	Stekas	8	3	5	661	720
15	Kretinga	8	1	7	643	723
16	Mazeikiai	8	1	7	583	668
17	Rytas 2	8	0	8	588	698
18	Atletas	7	0	7	532	673

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalgiris 2	Omega-Tauras
Jurbarkas-Karys	79-93 L	94-98 L
Suduva Mantinga	94-106 L	87-82 W
Vilkaviskio Perlas	107-104 W	73-82 L
Alytaus Patriotai	108-83 W	74-85 L
Neptunas 2	71-89 L	76-72 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Omega-Tauras (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zalgiris 2

LLWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Kretinga Lithuania NKL	101-85	W
22/10	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	79-93	L
17/10	Vytis Lithuania NKL	92-104	L
15/10	Atletas Lithuania NKL	107-83	W
10/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	94-106	L
08/10	Stekas Lithuania NKL	87-108	L
01/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	107-104	W
28/09	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	108-83	W
07/04	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	71-89	L
03/04	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	75-79	L

Omega-Tauras

LLLWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania NKL	74-85	L
22/10	Vilkaviskio Perlas Lithuania NKL	73-82	L
17/10	Suduva Mantinga Lithuania NKL	87-82	W
10/10	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	82-93	L
08/10	Rytas 2 Lithuania NKL	99-91	W
03/10	Neptunas 2 Lithuania NKL	76-72	W
30/09	Kedainiu SC Lithuania NKL	127-89	W
14/03	Plunges Olimpas Lithuania NKL	89-98	L
12/03	Silute Silute Lithuania NKL	88-92	L
07/03	Jurbarkas-Karys Lithuania NKL	94-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalgiris 2 vs Omega-Tauras?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Zalgiris 2 50% · Omega-Tauras 50%).

How many points are expected in Zalgiris 2 vs Omega-Tauras?

The model estimates 182.2 total points (Zalgiris 2 91.1 · Omega-Tauras 91.1).