Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 26/09, 03:00

Prediction: Tec Mty Toluca vs Anahuac Queretaro

Team pages: Tec Mty Toluca · Anahuac Queretaro

Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.5Total
Tec Mty Toluca85.2
Anahuac Queretaro83.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
55% 45%
Tec Mty Toluca Anahuac Queretaro

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Tec Mty Toluca 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
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Anahuac Queretaro 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Tec Mty Toluca 4–2 Anahuac Queretaro (6 last)
  • Anahuac Queretaro89-93Tec Mty Toluca
  • Tec Mty Toluca87-97Anahuac Queretaro
  • Anahuac Queretaro94-79Tec Mty Toluca
  • Tec Mty Toluca75-74Anahuac Queretaro
  • Tec Mty Toluca80-56Anahuac Queretaro
  • Tec Mty Toluca74-52Anahuac Queretaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tec Mty Toluca 1582 · Anahuac Queretaro 1569
Tec Mty TolucaAnahuac Queretaro
Our model64%36%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 168.5 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +10

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points168.5Tec Mty Toluca 85.2 · Anahuac Queretaro 83.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tec Mty Toluca: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Tec Mty TolucaAnahuac Queretaro
Points F|A (Last 10)82.4 / 78.492.2 / 79.8
Points F|A (Last 5)76.2 / 77.486.8 / 83.8
Est. result8583
Est. total168.5
Line O/U158.5
Diff.10

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tec Mty Toluca 4–0–2 Anahuac Queretaro

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Mexico Liga ABE
Anahuac Queretaro89-93Tec Mty Toluca
08/11/25
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Toluca87-97Anahuac Queretaro
16/02/25
Mexico Liga ABE
Anahuac Queretaro94-79Tec Mty Toluca
10/02/24
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Toluca75-74Anahuac Queretaro
13/11/22
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Toluca80-56Anahuac Queretaro
02/02/20
Mexico Liga ABE
Tec Mty Toluca74-52Anahuac Queretaro

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTec Mty TolucaAnahuac Queretaro
UPAEP 68-60 W 77-95 L
Tec Mty Santa Fe 88-87 W 82-78 W
Universidad Interamericana 90-88 W 80-78 W
Tec Mty Hidalgo 107-90 W 132-93 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Anahuac Queretaro (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tec Mty Toluca

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Date Opponent FT Res.
20/09 UANL
Mexico Liga ABE
79-74 W
19/09 Tec Mty Monterrey
Mexico Liga ABE
56-78 L
03/05 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
68-60 W
30/04 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
88-87 W
28/04 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
90-88 W
19/04 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
93-89 W
18/04 Tec Mty Hidalgo
Mexico Liga ABE
107-90 W
11/04 UANE
Mexico Liga ABE
68-60 W
11/04 UANL
Mexico Liga ABE
77-73 W
26/03 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Mexico Liga ABE
98-85 W

Anahuac Queretaro

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Date Opponent FT Res.
02/05 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
82-78 W
01/05 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
77-95 L
29/04 Tec Mty Puebla
Mexico Liga ABE
84-73 W
19/04 Tec Mty Toluca
Mexico Liga ABE
89-93 L
16/04 UACH
Mexico Liga ABE
102-80 W
12/04 UACH
Mexico Liga ABE
104-76 W
02/04 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
80-78 W
29/03 UDLAP
Mexico Liga ABE
86-69 W
28/03 Anahuac Xalapa
Mexico Liga ABE
86-63 W
18/03 Tec Mty Hidalgo
Mexico Liga ABE
132-93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tec Mty Toluca vs Anahuac Queretaro?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tec Mty Toluca 55% · Anahuac Queretaro 45%).

How many points are expected in Tec Mty Toluca vs Anahuac Queretaro?

The model estimates 168.5 total points (Tec Mty Toluca 85.2 · Anahuac Queretaro 83.4).