Basketball · Mexico Liga ABE · 27/09, 01:00

Prediction: UANL vs UPAEP

Team pages: UANL · UPAEP

Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.7Total
UANL74.2
UPAEP75.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
46% 54%
UANL UPAEP

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
UANL 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWLLLW
UPAEP 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
UANL 1–5 UPAEP (6 last)
  • UPAEP78-79UANL
  • UANL62-79UPAEP
  • UPAEP70-60UANL
  • UANL63-86UPAEP
  • UPAEP74-72UANL
  • UANL34-39UPAEP
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UANL 1480 · UPAEP 1546
UANLUPAEP
Our model53%47%
Market44%56%
Estimated total (ours) 149.7 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points149.7UANL 74.2 · UPAEP 75.6

Match keys

  • H2H favours UPAEP: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UANLUPAEP
Points F|A (Last 10)75.8 / 73.978.3 / 70.8
Points F|A (Last 5)71.8 / 74.679.2 / 73.8
Est. result7476
Est. total149.7
Line O/U151.5
Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · UANL 1–0–5 UPAEP

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Mexico Liga ABE
UPAEP78-79UANL
15/11/25
Mexico Liga ABE
UANL62-79UPAEP
31/10/24
Mexico Liga ABE
UPAEP70-60UANL
10/02/24
Mexico Liga ABE
UANL63-86UPAEP
18/02/23
Mexico Liga ABE
UPAEP74-72UANL
08/10/22
Mexico Liga ABE
UANL34-39UPAEP

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUANLUPAEP
Universidad Interamericana 91-76 W 66-74 L
Tec Mty Toluca 74-79 L 60-68 L
Tec Mty Santa Fe 57-76 L 85-74 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: UANL (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UANL

WLLWWWLLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/09 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
91-76 W
20/09 Tec Mty Toluca
Mexico Liga ABE
74-79 L
19/09 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
57-76 L
29/04 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
54-68 L
22/04 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
83-74 W
18/04 UANE
Mexico Liga ABE
85-60 W
11/04 Tec Mty Hidalgo
Mexico Liga ABE
106-79 W
11/04 Tec Mty Toluca
Mexico Liga ABE
73-77 L
28/03 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
56-72 L
28/03 UPAEP
Mexico Liga ABE
79-78 W

UPAEP

WWLWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/09 Tec Mty Monterrey
Mexico Liga ABE
60-76 L
19/09 Tec Mty Guadalajara
Mexico Liga ABE
86-74 W
19/09 CETYS Mexicali
Mexico Liga ABE
95-74 W
03/05 Tec Mty Toluca
Mexico Liga ABE
60-68 L
01/05 Anahuac Queretaro
Mexico Liga ABE
95-77 W
28/04 UMAD
Mexico Liga ABE
58-52 W
18/04 CEU
Mexico Liga ABE
94-76 W
18/04 Universidad Interamericana
Mexico Liga ABE
66-74 L
11/04 Tec Mty Santa Fe
Mexico Liga ABE
85-74 W
11/04 UP Mexico
Mexico Liga ABE
84-63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UANL vs UPAEP?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (UANL 46% · UPAEP 54%).

How many points are expected in UANL vs UPAEP?

The model estimates 149.7 total points (UANL 74.2 · UPAEP 75.6).