Basketball · Chile LNB · 25/09, 01:00

Prediction: ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt Basquetbol

Team pages: ABA Ancud · Puerto Montt Basquetbol

Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.3Total
ABA Ancud79.3
Puerto Montt Basquetbol77.9
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
54% 46%
ABA Ancud Puerto Montt Basquetbol

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWWLLW
Puerto Montt Basquetbol 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud 2–2 Puerto Montt Basquetbol (4 last)
  • ABA Ancud66-88Puerto Montt Basquetbol
  • Puerto Montt Basquetbol71-86ABA Ancud
  • Puerto Montt Basquetbol88-90ABA Ancud
  • ABA Ancud76-86Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ABA Ancud 1502 · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 1572
ABA AncudPuerto Montt Basquetbol
Our model53%47%
Market55%45%
Estimated total (ours) 157.3 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points157.3ABA Ancud 79.3 · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 77.9

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

ABA AncudPuerto Montt Basquetbol
Points F|A (Last 10)78.5 / 79.682.2 / 73.1
Points F|A (Last 5)76.8 / 7983 / 73.8
Est. result7978
Est. total157.3
Line O/U156.5
Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 202 Puerto Montt Basquetbol

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Chile LNB
ABA Ancud66-88Puerto Montt Basquetbol
25/07/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Montt Basquetbol71-86ABA Ancud
30/04/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Montt Basquetbol88-90ABA Ancud
09/04/26
Chile LNB
ABA Ancud76-86Puerto Montt Basquetbol

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Colegio Los Leones 220 1661474
2 Puerto Montt Basquetbol 220 1631464
3 Deportivo Valdivia 220 1721584
4 ABA Ancud 211 1501543
5 CDU Concepcion 211 1691753
6 Espanol Osorno 202 1471572
7 Puente Alto 202 1711842
8 Puerto Varas 202 1461632

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentABA AncudPuerto Montt Basquetbol
Espanol Osorno 74-65 W 82-79 W
Deportivo Valdivia 76-89 L 74-80 L
CD Castro 82-71 W 92-72 W
Puerto Varas 86-82 W 82-78 W
Las Animas 87-76 W 83-78 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ABA Ancud

LWLLWWWLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
17/09 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
74-65 W
15/09 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
76-89 L
16/08 Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Chile LNB
66-88 L
14/08 CD Castro
Chile LNB
82-71 W
08/08 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
86-82 W
06/08 Las Animas
Chile LNB
87-76 W
03/08 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
64-86 L
02/08 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
91-92 L
25/07 Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Chile LNB
86-71 W
23/07 CD Castro
Chile LNB
73-76 L

Puerto Montt Basquetbol

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
17/09 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
82-78 W
15/09 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
81-68 W
06/09 CSD Colo Colo
Chile LNB
86-84 W
03/09 CSD Colo Colo
Chile LNB
74-67 W
18/08 CD Castro
Chile LNB
92-72 W
16/08 ABA Ancud
Chile LNB
88-66 W
11/08 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
82-79 W
09/08 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
74-80 L
03/08 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
80-59 W
01/08 Las Animas
Chile LNB
83-78 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt Basquetbol?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (ABA Ancud 54% · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 46%).

How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt Basquetbol?

The model estimates 157.3 total points (ABA Ancud 79.3 · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 77.9).