Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 19/09, 19:00
Prediction: Nairobi City Thunder vs Stanbic Shields
Team pages: Nairobi City Thunder · Stanbic Shields
Prediction summary
Estimated points
144Total
Nairobi City Thunder81
Stanbic Shields63
1X2
Nairobi City Thunder
Stanbic Shields
Markets
Under 151.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Nairobi City Thunder
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Stanbic Shields
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nairobi City Thunder
6–0
Stanbic Shields
(6 last)
- Stanbic Shields67-91Nairobi City Thunder
- Nairobi City Thunder82-65Stanbic Shields
- Stanbic Shields64-84Nairobi City Thunder
- Stanbic Shields59-92Nairobi City Thunder
- Nairobi City Thunder83-51Stanbic Shields
- Stanbic Shields49-80Nairobi City Thunder
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nairobi City Thunder 1650 · Stanbic Shields 1499
| Nairobi City Thunder | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
144 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -7.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points144Nairobi City Thunder 81 · Stanbic Shields 63
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nairobi City Thunder (rating 1650 vs 1499).
- Nairobi City Thunder is a clear favourite (90% market).
- H2H favours Nairobi City Thunder: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nairobi City Thunder | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.5 / 54 | 62.9 / 69.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.8 / 53.8 | 68.4 / 77.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 63 |
Est. total144
Line O/U151.5
Diff.7.5
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nairobi City Thunder 6–0–0 Stanbic Shields
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 67-91 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 16/09/26 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 82-65 | Stanbic Shields |
| 19/06/26 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 64-84 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 21/08/25 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 59-92 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 08/08/25 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 83-51 | Stanbic Shields |
| 01/02/25 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 49-80 | Nairobi City Thunder |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nairobi City Thunder | Stanbic Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Eldonets | 88-39 W | 67-51 W |
| Moischers Nets | 70-55 W | 66-53 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nairobi City Thunder (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nairobi City Thunder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
91-67 | W |
| 16/09 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
82-65 | W |
| 05/09 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
86-44 | W |
| 04/09 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
97-54 | W |
| 23/08 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
88-39 | W |
| 21/08 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
73-32 | W |
| 01/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
70-55 | W |
| 31/07 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
80-61 | W |
| 25/07 | Terror Kenya Premier League |
92-54 | W |
| 26/06 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
106-69 | W |
Stanbic Shields
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
67-91 | L |
| 16/09 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
65-82 | L |
| 06/09 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
79-72 | W |
| 05/09 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
60-58 | W |
| 30/08 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
71-86 | L |
| 23/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
66-53 | W |
| 26/07 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
48-42 | W |
| 04/07 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
67-51 | W |
| 28/06 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
42-75 | L |
| 19/06 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
64-84 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nairobi City Thunder vs Stanbic Shields?
Our model gives 90% to Nairobi City Thunder.
How many points are expected in Nairobi City Thunder vs Stanbic Shields?
The model estimates 144 total points (Nairobi City Thunder 81 · Stanbic Shields 63).