Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 17/09, 19:30
Prediction: Stanbic Shields vs Nairobi City Thunder
Team pages: Stanbic Shields · Nairobi City Thunder
Prediction summary
Estimated points
143.3Total
Stanbic Shields64.7
Nairobi City Thunder78.6
1X2
Stanbic Shields
Nairobi City Thunder
Recent form · 10 last
Stanbic Shields
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Nairobi City Thunder
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stanbic Shields
0–5
Nairobi City Thunder
(5 last)
- Nairobi City Thunder82-65Stanbic Shields
- Stanbic Shields64-84Nairobi City Thunder
- Stanbic Shields59-92Nairobi City Thunder
- Nairobi City Thunder83-51Stanbic Shields
- Stanbic Shields49-80Nairobi City Thunder
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stanbic Shields 1522 · Nairobi City Thunder 1650
| Stanbic Shields | Nairobi City Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
Estimated total (ours)
143.3 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · -3.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points143.3Stanbic Shields 64.7 · Nairobi City Thunder 78.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nairobi City Thunder (rating 1522 vs 1650).
- Nairobi City Thunder is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Nairobi City Thunder: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Stanbic Shields | Nairobi City Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 64.3 / 66 | 86.6 / 53.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 68.2 / 70.2 | 85.2 / 46.8 |
| Est. result | 65 | 79 |
Est. total143.3
Line O/U146.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stanbic Shields 0–0–5 Nairobi City Thunder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 82-65 | Stanbic Shields |
| 19/06/26 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 64-84 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 21/08/25 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 59-92 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 08/08/25 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 83-51 | Stanbic Shields |
| 01/02/25 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 49-80 | Nairobi City Thunder |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stanbic Shields | Nairobi City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Moischers Nets | 66-53 W | 70-55 W |
| Eldonets | 67-51 W | 88-39 W |
| ANU Wolfpacks | 81-57 W | 92-58 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nairobi City Thunder (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stanbic Shields
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
65-82 | L |
| 06/09 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
79-72 | W |
| 05/09 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
60-58 | W |
| 30/08 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
71-86 | L |
| 23/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
66-53 | W |
| 26/07 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
48-42 | W |
| 04/07 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
67-51 | W |
| 28/06 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
42-75 | L |
| 19/06 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
64-84 | L |
| 23/05 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
81-57 | W |
Nairobi City Thunder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
82-65 | W |
| 05/09 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
86-44 | W |
| 04/09 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
97-54 | W |
| 23/08 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
88-39 | W |
| 21/08 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
73-32 | W |
| 01/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
70-55 | W |
| 31/07 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
80-61 | W |
| 25/07 | Terror Kenya Premier League |
92-54 | W |
| 26/06 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
106-69 | W |
| 21/06 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
92-58 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stanbic Shields vs Nairobi City Thunder?
Our model gives 84% to Nairobi City Thunder.
How many points are expected in Stanbic Shields vs Nairobi City Thunder?
The model estimates 143.3 total points (Stanbic Shields 64.7 · Nairobi City Thunder 78.6).