Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 17/09, 17:00
Prediction: Equity Bank vs KPA
Team pages: Equity Bank · KPA
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.5Total
Equity Bank71.1
KPA81.4
1X2
Equity Bank
KPA
Recent form · 10 last
Equity Bank
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
KPA
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Equity Bank
2–4
KPA
(6 last)
- KPA87-56Equity Bank
- Equity Bank90-99KPA
- KPA73-55Equity Bank
- KPA70-72Equity Bank
- Equity Bank60-79KPA
- Equity Bank78-66KPA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Equity Bank 1533 · KPA 1638
| Equity Bank | KPA | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.5 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.5Equity Bank 71.1 · KPA 81.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KPA (rating 1533 vs 1638).
- KPA is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours KPA: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Equity Bank | KPA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73 / 72.4 | 83.7 / 67.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.2 / 68.2 | 85.4 / 63 |
| Est. result | 71 | 81 |
Est. total152.5
Line O/U146.5
Diff.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Equity Bank 2–0–4 KPA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Kenya Premier League | KPA | 87-56 | Equity Bank |
| 27/03/26 Kenya Premier League | Equity Bank | 90-99 | KPA |
| 12/12/24 FIBA East Africa BCC | KPA | 73-55 | Equity Bank |
| 08/04/23 Kenya Premier League | KPA | 70-72 | Equity Bank |
| 04/09/22 Kenya Premier League | Equity Bank | 60-79 | KPA |
| 06/02/22 Kenya Premier League | Equity Bank | 78-66 | KPA |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Equity Bank | KPA |
|---|---|---|
| Umoja | 75-67 W | 70-60 W |
| Moischers Nets | 89-61 W | 88-57 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: KPA (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Equity Bank
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
56-87 | L |
| 11/09 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
75-67 | W |
| 06/09 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
58-62 | L |
| 05/09 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
68-50 | W |
| 16/08 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
89-75 | W |
| 15/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
89-61 | W |
| 07/08 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
67-62 | W |
| 04/07 | Lakeside Kenya Premier League |
66-64 | W |
| 26/06 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
69-106 | L |
| 21/06 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
93-90 | W |
KPA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
87-56 | W |
| 05/09 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
77-61 | W |
| 30/08 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
86-71 | W |
| 19/07 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
89-70 | W |
| 18/07 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
88-57 | W |
| 14/06 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
70-60 | W |
| 13/06 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
84-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
84-72 | W |
| 27/03 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
99-90 | W |
| 15/03 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
73-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Equity Bank vs KPA?
Our model gives 77% to KPA.
How many points are expected in Equity Bank vs KPA?
The model estimates 152.5 total points (Equity Bank 71.1 · KPA 81.4).