Basketball · Greece Basket League · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Promitheas vs Panathinaikos
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.2Total
Promitheas78.7
Panathinaikos94.5
1X2
Promitheas
Panathinaikos
Recent form · 10 last
Promitheas
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Panathinaikos
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Promitheas
0–6
Panathinaikos
(6 last)
- Promitheas63-96Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos91-70Promitheas
- Promitheas59-97Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos101-69Promitheas
- Promitheas73-91Panathinaikos
- Promitheas78-84Panathinaikos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promitheas 1421 · Panathinaikos 1624
| Promitheas | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
173.2 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +5.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points173.2Promitheas 78.7 · Panathinaikos 94.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Panathinaikos (rating 1421 vs 1624).
- Panathinaikos is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Panathinaikos: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Promitheas | Panathinaikos | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.1 / 94.5 | 92.2 / 83.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.4 / 94 | 88.2 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 79 | 95 |
Est. total173.2
Line O/U167.5
Diff.5.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Promitheas 0–0–6 Panathinaikos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Greece Basket League | Promitheas | 63-96 | Panathinaikos |
| 26/10/25 Greece Basket League | Panathinaikos | 91-70 | Promitheas |
| 14/05/25 Greece Basket League | Promitheas | 59-97 | Panathinaikos |
| 12/05/25 Greece Basket League | Panathinaikos | 101-69 | Promitheas |
| 14/02/25 Greece Cup | Promitheas | 73-91 | Panathinaikos |
| 25/01/25 Greece Basket League | Promitheas | 78-84 | Panathinaikos |
Standings · Greece Basket League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 70 | 2 |
| 2 | Kolossos Rhodes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91 | 75 | 2 |
| 3 | Peristeri | 1 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 88 | 2 |
| 4 | AS Karditsas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 74 | 68 | 2 |
| 5 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 85 | 2 |
| 6 | AO Mykonou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 88 | 1 |
| 7 | Promitheas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 94 | 1 |
| 8 | Aris | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 74 | 1 |
| 9 | Iraklis 2022 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 78 | 1 |
| 10 | Doxa Lefkadas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 91 | 1 |
| 11 | Marousi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70 | 91 | 1 |
| 12 | Vikos BC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 103 | 1 |
| 13 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 74 | 0 |
| 14 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 78 | 68 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Promitheas | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 70-100 L | 102-94 W |
| AO Mykonou | 99-89 W | 90-76 W |
| Olympiacos | 87-102 L | 85-89 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Promitheas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
88-94 | L |
| 25/04 | Iraklis 2022 Greece Basket League |
97-85 | W |
| 18/04 | AS Karditsas Greece Basket League |
79-95 | L |
| 04/04 | Panathinaikos Greece Basket League |
63-96 | L |
| 28/03 | PAOK Greece Basket League |
70-100 | L |
| 21/03 | Kolossos Rhodes Greece Basket League |
76-98 | L |
| 14/03 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
99-89 | W |
| 07/03 | AEK Greece Basket League |
85-102 | L |
| 14/02 | Peristeri Greece Basket League |
77-84 | L |
| 08/02 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
87-102 | L |
Panathinaikos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Vikos BC Greece Basket League |
103-74 | W |
| 13/06 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
85-89 | L |
| 10/06 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
93-86 | W |
| 08/06 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
92-102 | L |
| 05/06 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
68-58 | W |
| 03/06 | Olympiacos Greece Basket League |
76-82 | L |
| 30/05 | PAOK Greece Basket League |
102-94 | W |
| 28/05 | PAOK Greece Basket League |
114-102 | W |
| 17/05 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
90-76 | W |
| 15/05 | AO Mykonou Greece Basket League |
99-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Promitheas vs Panathinaikos?
Our model gives 87% to Panathinaikos.
How many points are expected in Promitheas vs Panathinaikos?
The model estimates 173.2 total points (Promitheas 78.7 · Panathinaikos 94.5).