Basketball · Brazil FPB · 22/09, 02:00

Prediction: Mogi das Cruzes vs Corinthians

Team pages: Mogi das Cruzes · Corinthians

Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.8Total
Mogi das Cruzes87.8
Corinthians75
1X2
82% 18%
Mogi das Cruzes Corinthians
Recent form · 10 last
Mogi das Cruzes 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Corinthians 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Mogi das Cruzes 2–4 Corinthians (6 last)
  • Mogi das Cruzes87-55Corinthians
  • Corinthians82-75Mogi das Cruzes
  • Mogi das Cruzes67-70Corinthians
  • Corinthians72-70Mogi das Cruzes
  • Mogi das Cruzes93-76Corinthians
  • Corinthians93-73Mogi das Cruzes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mogi das Cruzes 1562 · Corinthians 1551
Mogi das CruzesCorinthians
Our model64%36%
Market86%14%
Estimated total (ours) 162.8 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points162.8Mogi das Cruzes 87.8 · Corinthians 75

Match keys

  • Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (82% market).
  • H2H favours Corinthians: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Mogi das CruzesCorinthians
Points F|A (Last 10)89.6 / 75.884.4 / 78
Points F|A (Last 5)92 / 74.681.2 / 83.2
Est. result8875
Est. total162.8
Line O/U158.5
Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mogi das Cruzes 204 Corinthians

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/08/26
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes87-55Corinthians
19/02/26
Brazil NBB
Corinthians82-75Mogi das Cruzes
23/11/25
Brazil NBB
Mogi das Cruzes67-70Corinthians
13/09/25
Brazil FPB
Corinthians72-70Mogi das Cruzes
28/08/25
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes93-76Corinthians
15/03/25
Brazil NBB
Corinthians93-73Mogi das Cruzes

Standings · Brazil FPB

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Franca 761 5444680
2 Mogi das Cruzes 761 6225030
3 Corinthians 752 5875370
4 Bauru 743 5505390
5 Pinheiros 725 5015630
6 Sao Jose 725 5695530
7 Osasco 716 4576570
8 Paulistano 725 5455550

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMogi das CruzesCorinthians
Sao Jose 104-81 W 91-68 W
Franca 78-86 L 77-79 L
Osasco 89-74 W 99-67 W
Bauru 88-71 W 94-86 W
Paulistano 86-82 W 83-80 W
Pinheiros 93-68 W 82-65 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mogi das Cruzes

LWWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
104-81 W
04/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
102-77 W
28/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
78-86 L
22/08 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
87-55 W
21/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
89-74 W
15/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
88-71 W
13/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
101-67 W
09/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
86-82 W
06/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
93-68 W
11/10 Franca
Brazil FPB
68-97 L

Corinthians

WWWLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
82-65 W
06/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
96-91 W
04/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
79-87 L
27/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
94-86 W
22/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
55-87 L
20/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
83-80 W
15/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
77-79 L
13/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
88-70 W
08/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
91-68 W
07/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
99-67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mogi das Cruzes vs Corinthians?

Our model gives 82% to Mogi das Cruzes.

How many points are expected in Mogi das Cruzes vs Corinthians?

The model estimates 162.8 total points (Mogi das Cruzes 87.8 · Corinthians 75).