Basketball · Brazil FPB · 24/09, 01:00

Prediction: Corinthians vs Mogi das Cruzes

Team pages: Corinthians · Mogi das Cruzes

Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.8Total
Corinthians76.8
Mogi das Cruzes85
1X2
28% 72%
Corinthians Mogi das Cruzes
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWWL
Mogi das Cruzes 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Corinthians 3–3 Mogi das Cruzes (6 last)
  • Mogi das Cruzes94-63Corinthians
  • Mogi das Cruzes87-55Corinthians
  • Corinthians82-75Mogi das Cruzes
  • Mogi das Cruzes67-70Corinthians
  • Corinthians72-70Mogi das Cruzes
  • Mogi das Cruzes93-76Corinthians
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians 1526 · Mogi das Cruzes 1577
CorinthiansMogi das Cruzes
Our model56%44%
Market21%79%
Estimated total (ours) 161.8 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points161.8Corinthians 76.8 · Mogi das Cruzes 85

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mogi das Cruzes (rating 1526 vs 1577).
  • Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (72% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CorinthiansMogi das Cruzes
Points F|A (Last 10)80.8 / 80.792.2 / 72.4
Points F|A (Last 5)82.8 / 84.693 / 72.4
Est. result7785
Est. total161.8
Line O/U161.5
Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 303 Mogi das Cruzes

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/09/26
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes94-63Corinthians
22/08/26
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes87-55Corinthians
19/02/26
Brazil NBB
Corinthians82-75Mogi das Cruzes
23/11/25
Brazil NBB
Mogi das Cruzes67-70Corinthians
13/09/25
Brazil FPB
Corinthians72-70Mogi das Cruzes
28/08/25
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes93-76Corinthians

Standings · Brazil FPB

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Franca 761 5444680
2 Mogi das Cruzes 761 6225030
3 Corinthians 752 5875370
4 Bauru 743 5505390
5 Pinheiros 725 5015630
6 Sao Jose 725 5695530
7 Osasco 716 4576570
8 Paulistano 725 5455550

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorinthiansMogi das Cruzes
Pinheiros 82-65 W 93-68 W
Bauru 94-86 W 88-71 W
Paulistano 83-80 W 86-82 W
Franca 77-79 L 78-86 L
Sao Jose 91-68 W 104-81 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians

WWLWLWLWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/09 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
63-94 L
09/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
82-65 W
06/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
96-91 W
04/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
79-87 L
27/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
94-86 W
22/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
55-87 L
20/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
83-80 W
15/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
77-79 L
13/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
88-70 W
08/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
91-68 W

Mogi das Cruzes

WWWWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
22/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
94-63 W
10/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
104-81 W
04/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
102-77 W
28/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
78-86 L
22/08 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
87-55 W
21/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
89-74 W
15/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
88-71 W
13/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
101-67 W
09/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
86-82 W
06/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
93-68 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Mogi das Cruzes?

Our model gives 72% to Mogi das Cruzes.

How many points are expected in Corinthians vs Mogi das Cruzes?

The model estimates 161.8 total points (Corinthians 76.8 · Mogi das Cruzes 85).