Basketball · Brazil FPB · 23/09, 01:00
Prediction: Franca vs Paulistano
Team pages: Franca · Paulistano
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.5Total
Franca80.5
Paulistano71
1X2
Franca
Paulistano
Recent form · 10 last
Franca
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Paulistano
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Franca
4–2
Paulistano
(6 last)
- Paulistano74-78Franca
- Franca89-91Paulistano
- Paulistano69-71Franca
- Paulistano61-69Franca
- Franca84-86Paulistano
- Paulistano90-100Franca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franca 1593 · Paulistano 1487
| Franca | Paulistano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.5 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.5Franca 80.5 · Paulistano 71
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franca (rating 1593 vs 1487).
- Franca is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Franca: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Franca | Paulistano | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.9 / 67.2 | 75.5 / 77.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 70 | 73.6 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 81 | 71 |
Est. total151.5
Line O/U149.5
Diff.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Franca 4–0–2 Paulistano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 Brazil FPB | Paulistano | 74-78 | Franca |
| 04/02/26 Brazil NBB | Franca | 89-91 | Paulistano |
| 25/10/25 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 69-71 | Franca |
| 30/08/25 Brazil FPB | Paulistano | 61-69 | Franca |
| 18/01/25 Brazil NBB | Franca | 84-86 | Paulistano |
| 25/10/24 Brazil NBB | Paulistano | 90-100 | Franca |
Standings · Brazil FPB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franca | 7 | 6 | 1 | 544 | 468 | 0 |
| 2 | Mogi das Cruzes | 7 | 6 | 1 | 622 | 503 | 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 587 | 537 | 0 |
| 4 | Bauru | 7 | 4 | 3 | 550 | 539 | 0 |
| 5 | Pinheiros | 7 | 2 | 5 | 501 | 563 | 0 |
| 6 | Sao Jose | 7 | 2 | 5 | 569 | 553 | 0 |
| 7 | Osasco | 7 | 1 | 6 | 457 | 657 | 0 |
| 8 | Paulistano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 545 | 555 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Franca | Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Osasco | 85-64 W | 70-78 L |
| Mogi das Cruzes | 86-78 W | 82-86 L |
| Sao Jose | 60-75 L | 84-79 W |
| Pinheiros | 79-61 W | 67-59 W |
| Corinthians | 79-77 W | 80-83 L |
| Bauru | 61-51 W | 69-67 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Franca (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
85-64 | W |
| 05/09 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
93-72 | W |
| 28/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
86-78 | W |
| 23/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
60-75 | L |
| 21/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
79-61 | W |
| 15/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
79-77 | W |
| 14/08 | Paulistano Brazil FPB |
78-74 | W |
| 09/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
101-52 | W |
| 06/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
61-51 | W |
| 11/10 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
97-68 | W |
Paulistano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
69-67 | W |
| 07/09 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
70-68 | W |
| 05/09 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
71-83 | L |
| 27/08 | Osasco Brazil FPB |
70-78 | L |
| 22/08 | Bauru Brazil FPB |
88-92 | L |
| 20/08 | Corinthians Brazil FPB |
80-83 | L |
| 16/08 | Pinheiros Brazil FPB |
67-59 | W |
| 14/08 | Franca Brazil FPB |
74-78 | L |
| 09/08 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB |
82-86 | L |
| 07/08 | Sao Jose Brazil FPB |
84-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franca vs Paulistano?
Our model gives 75% to Franca.
How many points are expected in Franca vs Paulistano?
The model estimates 151.5 total points (Franca 80.5 · Paulistano 71).