Basketball · Chile LNB · 13/09, 01:30
Prediction: Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia
Team pages: Espanol Osorno · Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.5Total
Espanol Osorno78.1
Deportivo Valdivia82.4
1X2
Espanol Osorno
Deportivo Valdivia
Recent form · 10 last
Espanol Osorno
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanol Osorno
3–3
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
- Espanol Osorno70-77Deportivo Valdivia
- Deportivo Valdivia108-82Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia87-90Espanol Osorno
- Deportivo Valdivia57-69Espanol Osorno
- Espanol Osorno74-92Deportivo Valdivia
- Espanol Osorno95-74Deportivo Valdivia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanol Osorno 1520 · Deportivo Valdivia 1625
| Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.5 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.5Espanol Osorno 78.1 · Deportivo Valdivia 82.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1520 vs 1625).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.3 / 86.2 | 88.2 / 69.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81 / 86.4 | 85.8 / 67 |
| Est. result | 78 | 82 |
Est. total160.5
Line O/U161.5
Diff.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanol Osorno 3–0–3 Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 70-77 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 16/07/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 108-82 | Espanol Osorno |
| 22/05/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 87-90 | Espanol Osorno |
| 21/05/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 57-69 | Espanol Osorno |
| 16/05/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 74-92 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 15/05/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 95-74 | Deportivo Valdivia |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1089 | 837 | 24 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1022 | 1023 | 19 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 12 | 6 | 6 | 982 | 998 | 18 |
| 4 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 12 | 5 | 7 | 939 | 939 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Varas | 12 | 5 | 7 | 940 | 1007 | 17 |
| 6 | Las Animas | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1008 | 1008 | 16 |
| 7 | CD Castro | 12 | 3 | 9 | 862 | 1030 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanol Osorno | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Varas | 79-95 L | 96-69 W |
| Las Animas | 91-94 L | 90-58 W |
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 79-82 L | 80-74 W |
| CD Castro | 86-84 W | 92-79 W |
| ABA Ancud | 92-91 W | 86-64 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanol Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
79-95 | L |
| 16/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
91-94 | L |
| 11/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
79-82 | L |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
70-77 | L |
| 03/08 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
86-84 | W |
| 02/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
92-91 | W |
| 27/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 26/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
92-85 | W |
| 20/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
85-70 | W |
| 16/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
82-108 | L |
Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
90-58 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
96-69 | W |
| 09/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
80-74 | W |
| 07/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
77-70 | W |
| 03/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
86-64 | W |
| 02/08 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
92-79 | W |
| 27/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
100-71 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
85-68 | W |
| 18/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
88-70 | W |
| 18/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
88-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 62% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Espanol Osorno vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 160.5 total points (Espanol Osorno 78.1 · Deportivo Valdivia 82.4).