Basketball · Chile LNB · 23/09, 01:30
Prediction: CD Castro vs CD Espanol Talca
Team pages: CD Castro · CD Espanol Talca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.7Total
CD Castro84.6
CD Espanol Talca78.1
1X2
CD Castro
CD Espanol Talca
Recent form · 10 last
CD Castro
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
CD Espanol Talca
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Castro
5–1
CD Espanol Talca
(6 last)
- CD Castro75-76CD Espanol Talca
- CD Espanol Talca64-90CD Castro
- CD Castro95-69CD Espanol Talca
- CD Castro79-75CD Espanol Talca
- CD Espanol Talca60-71CD Castro
- CD Castro91-80CD Espanol Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Castro 1440 · CD Espanol Talca 1396
| CD Castro | CD Espanol Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.7 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · +1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.7CD Castro 84.6 · CD Espanol Talca 78.1
Match keys
- CD Castro is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours CD Castro: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CD Castro | CD Espanol Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 72.5 / 84.2 | 74.5 / 95.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70 / 85 | 74.4 / 93 |
| Est. result | 85 | 78 |
Est. total162.7
Line O/U161.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Castro 5–0–1 CD Espanol Talca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/24 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 75-76 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 07/05/23 Chile LNB | CD Espanol Talca | 64-90 | CD Castro |
| 05/03/23 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 95-69 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 09/04/22 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 79-75 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 09/01/22 Chile LNB | CD Espanol Talca | 60-71 | CD Castro |
| 10/02/19 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 91-80 | CD Espanol Talca |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 151 | 147 | 3 |
| 2 | Las Animas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 151 | 3 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 70 | 2 |
| 4 | CSD Colo Colo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 74 | 2 |
| 5 | CD Espanol Talca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 144 | 162 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
77-68 | W |
| 14/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
74-79 | L |
| 18/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
72-92 | L |
| 14/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
71-82 | L |
| 07/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
56-104 | L |
| 06/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
67-102 | L |
| 03/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
84-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
79-92 | L |
| 27/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
69-64 | W |
| 23/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
76-73 | W |
CD Espanol Talca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
70-81 | L |
| 13/09 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
74-81 | L |
| 17/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
69-96 | L |
| 15/08 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
80-103 | L |
| 10/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
79-104 | L |
| 07/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
73-84 | L |
| 03/08 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
80-67 | W |
| 01/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
80-99 | L |
| 27/07 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
63-100 | L |
| 25/07 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
77-136 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Castro vs CD Espanol Talca?
Our model gives 68% to CD Castro.
How many points are expected in CD Castro vs CD Espanol Talca?
The model estimates 162.7 total points (CD Castro 84.6 · CD Espanol Talca 78.1).