Basketball · Chile LNB · 17/09, 01:30

Prediction: Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs Puerto Varas

Team pages: Puerto Montt Basquetbol · Puerto Varas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159.4Total

Puerto Montt Basquetbol82.6

Puerto Varas76.8

1X2

66% 34%

Puerto Montt Basquetbol Puerto Varas

Recent form · 10 last

Puerto Montt Basquetbol 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Puerto Varas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Puerto Montt Basquetbol 3–2 Puerto Varas (5 last)

Puerto Varas68-81Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Puerto Montt Basquetbol80-59Puerto Varas
Puerto Varas86-81Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Puerto Varas86-85Puerto Montt Basquetbol
Puerto Montt Basquetbol102-91Puerto Varas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 1554 · Puerto Varas 1510

	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	Puerto Varas
Our model	68%	32%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 159.4 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +3.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159.4Puerto Montt Basquetbol 82.6 · Puerto Varas 76.8

Match keys

Puerto Montt Basquetbol is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Puerto Montt Basquetbol: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	Puerto Varas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.4 / 72.2	80.1 / 80.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.2 / 71.4	78.2 / 78.6
Est. result	83	77

Est. total159.4

Line O/U155.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 156.5

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 21:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.43▼	Pinn 1.51 ★
2	2.25 → 2.65▲	Bet365 2.65

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 9.6%

Time*	1	2
18:43 +4’	1.57	2.25
11:39 +7’	1.95▲	1.74▼
12:36 +11’	1.57▼	2.25▲
13:42 +4’	2.12▲	1.65▼
15:45 +1’	1.83▼	1.83▲
21:43 +4’	1.43▼	2.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:16 +31’	1.61	2.04
22:54 +51’	1.58▼	2.07▲
00:16 +30’	1.56▼	2.11▲
02:17 +29’	1.54▼	2.15▲
10:42 +3’	1.91▲	1.70▼
11:45 +1’	2.24▲	1.49▼
12:35 +11’	1.81▼	1.79▲
18:43 +3’	1.53▼	2.16▲
19:03 +43’	1.74▲	1.86▼
20:41 +5’	1.60▼	2.13▲
20:54 +53’	1.53▼	2.27▲
21:59 +47’	1.51▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt Basquetbol 3–0–2 Puerto Varas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/09/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Varas	68-81	Puerto Montt Basquetbol
03/08/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	80-59	Puerto Varas
14/07/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Varas	86-81	Puerto Montt Basquetbol
16/04/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Varas	86-85	Puerto Montt Basquetbol
26/03/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	102-91	Puerto Varas

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	2	2	0	163	146	4
2	Deportivo Valdivia	2	2	0	172	158	4
3	ABA Ancud	2	1	1	150	154	3
4	CDU Concepcion	2	1	1	169	175	3
5	Colegio Los Leones	1	1	0	79	72	2
6	Espanol Osorno	2	0	2	147	157	2
7	Puerto Varas	2	0	2	146	163	2
8	Puente Alto	1	0	1	96	97	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	Puerto Varas
CD Castro	92-72 W	102-67 W
ABA Ancud	88-66 W	82-86 L
Espanol Osorno	82-79 W	95-79 W
Deportivo Valdivia	74-80 L	69-96 L
Las Animas	83-78 W	91-90 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt Basquetbol (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puerto Montt Basquetbol

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/09	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	81-68	W
06/09	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	86-84	W
03/09	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	74-67	W
18/08	CD Castro Chile LNB	92-72	W
16/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	88-66	W
11/08	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	82-79	W
09/08	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	74-80	L
03/08	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	80-59	W
01/08	Las Animas Chile LNB	83-78	W
27/07	CD Castro Chile LNB	64-69	L

Puerto Varas

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/09	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	68-81	L
08/09	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	76-75	W
04/09	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	83-62	W
17/08	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	95-79	W
12/08	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	69-96	L
08/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	82-86	L
06/08	CD Castro Chile LNB	102-67	W
03/08	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	59-80	L
30/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	91-90	W
27/07	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	76-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs Puerto Varas?

Our model gives 66% to Puerto Montt Basquetbol.

How many points are expected in Puerto Montt Basquetbol vs Puerto Varas?

The model estimates 159.4 total points (Puerto Montt Basquetbol 82.6 · Puerto Varas 76.8).