Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Parnu vs Ventspils

Team pages: Parnu · Ventspils

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.6Total

Parnu77.9

Ventspils80.7

1X2

42% 58%

Parnu Ventspils

Recent form · 10 last

Parnu 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLWW

Ventspils 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Parnu 1–5 Ventspils (6 last)

Ventspils80-71Parnu
Parnu73-82Ventspils
Parnu100-90Ventspils
Ventspils95-92Parnu
Ventspils91-84Parnu
Parnu77-80Ventspils

Model analysis

Estimated points158.6Parnu 77.9 · Ventspils 80.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventspils (rating 1427 vs 1575).
H2H favours Ventspils: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Parnu	Ventspils
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.5 / 79.4	83.9 / 80.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.4 / 78.8	84 / 74.8
Est. result	78	81

Est. total158.6

Line O/U159.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.87

Under 159.51.87

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 161.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.77
2	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	2
16:27 +26’	1.77	1.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Parnu 1–0–5 Ventspils

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	80-71	Parnu
17/12/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Parnu	73-82	Ventspils
01/02/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Parnu	100-90	Ventspils
10/12/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	95-92	Parnu
19/12/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	91-84	Parnu
02/12/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	Parnu	77-80	Ventspils

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rigas Zelli	7	7	0	658	529	14
2	VEF Riga	8	7	1	718	571	15
3	Valmiera	8	6	2	716	606	14
4	Ventspils	8	6	2	696	649	14
5	Tartu Ulikool	7	5	2	576	518	12
6	TALTECH	9	6	3	671	646	15
7	Kalev/Cramo	7	4	3	589	569	11
8	Parnu	6	3	3	463	467	9
9	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	6	3	3	505	530	9
10	Ogre	7	3	4	607	603	10
11	Liepajas Lauvas	8	3	5	653	615	11
12	Keila	8	3	5	575	669	11
13	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	9	1	8	641	774	10
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	692	827	10
15	Keila Basket	9	0	9	633	820	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parnu	Ventspils
Valmiera	76-74 W	76-98 L
Latvijas Universitate	91-77 W	108-92 W
VEF Riga	72-89 L	71-90 L
Kalev/Cramo	78-79 L	86-73 W
Tartu Ulikool	88-89 L	92-85 W
KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	88-75 W	75-60 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ventspils (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parnu

LWLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	76-74	W
25/10	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	91-77	W
17/10	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	72-89	L
10/10	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	70-75	L
03/10	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	78-79	L
26/09	Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL	76-73	W
23/03	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	88-89	L
20/03	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	71-80	L
11/03	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	88-75	W
07/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	75-83	L

Ventspils

WLLWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	75-60	W
24/10	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	92-88	W
16/10	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	82-85	L
11/10	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	85-68	W
10/10	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	86-73	W
02/10	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	92-85	W
28/09	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	108-92	W
25/09	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	76-98	L
24/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	71-90	L
22/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	72-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parnu vs Ventspils?

Our model gives 58% to Ventspils.

How many points are expected in Parnu vs Ventspils?

The model estimates 158.6 total points (Parnu 77.9 · Ventspils 80.7).