Basketball · Brazil FPB · 09/09, 01:00

Prediction: Corinthians vs Pinheiros

Team pages: Corinthians · Pinheiros

Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.1Total
Corinthians85.4
Pinheiros77.7
1X2
71% 29%
Corinthians Pinheiros
Markets
Over 154.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Pinheiros 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWWWL
Head-to-head
Corinthians 3–3 Pinheiros (6 last)
  • Corinthians96-91Pinheiros
  • Pinheiros87-79Corinthians
  • Pinheiros70-88Corinthians
  • Pinheiros88-76Corinthians
  • Corinthians81-82Pinheiros
  • Corinthians98-84Pinheiros
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians 1526 · Pinheiros 1484
CorinthiansPinheiros
Our model68%32%
Market71%29%
Estimated total (ours) 163.1 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +8.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points163.1Corinthians 85.4 · Pinheiros 77.7
Over / Under 154.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~161.7 pts · strength 7

Match keys

  • Corinthians is a clear favourite (71% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CorinthiansPinheiros
Points F|A (Last 10)84.5 / 80.176.6 / 83.6
Points F|A (Last 5)81.4 / 86.283.8 / 83.2
Est. result8578
Est. total163.1
Line O/U154.5
Diff.8.6
Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 303 Pinheiros

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/26
Brazil FPB
Corinthians96-91Pinheiros
04/09/26
Brazil FPB
Pinheiros87-79Corinthians
13/08/26
Brazil FPB
Pinheiros70-88Corinthians
27/05/26
Brazil NBB
Pinheiros88-76Corinthians
23/05/26
Brazil NBB
Corinthians81-82Pinheiros
21/05/26
Brazil NBB
Corinthians98-84Pinheiros

Standings · Brazil FPB

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Franca 761 5444680
2 Mogi das Cruzes 761 6225030
3 Corinthians 752 5875370
4 Bauru 743 5505390
5 Pinheiros 725 5015630
6 Sao Jose 725 5695530
7 Osasco 716 4576570
8 Paulistano 725 5455550

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorinthiansPinheiros
Bauru 94-86 W 63-74 L
Mogi das Cruzes 55-87 L 68-93 L
Paulistano 83-80 W 59-67 L
Franca 77-79 L 61-79 L
Sao Jose 91-68 W 87-85 W
Osasco 99-67 W 93-77 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians

LWWWLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
06/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
96-91 W
04/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
79-87 L
27/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
94-86 W
22/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
55-87 L
20/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
83-80 W
15/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
77-79 L
13/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
88-70 W
08/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
91-68 W
07/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
99-67 W
26/09 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
83-86 L

Pinheiros

LLLLLLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
06/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
91-96 L
04/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
87-79 W
28/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
87-85 W
23/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
93-77 W
21/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
61-79 L
16/08 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
59-67 L
13/08 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
70-88 L
08/08 Bauru
Brazil FPB
63-74 L
06/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
68-93 L
03/10 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
87-98 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Pinheiros?

Our model gives 71% to Corinthians.

How many points are expected in Corinthians vs Pinheiros?

The model estimates 163.1 total points (Corinthians 85.4 · Pinheiros 77.7).

Over or under 154.5 points?

Recent history points to over 154.5 points (70%).