Basketball · Brazil FPB · 10/09, 01:00

Prediction: Mogi das Cruzes vs Sao Jose

Team pages: Mogi das Cruzes · Sao Jose

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.8Total

Mogi das Cruzes86.1

Sao Jose72.7

1X2

83% 17%

Mogi das Cruzes Sao Jose

Recent form · 10 last

Mogi das Cruzes 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Sao Jose 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mogi das Cruzes 6–0 Sao Jose (6 last)

Sao Jose77-102Mogi das Cruzes
Mogi das Cruzes101-67Sao Jose
Mogi das Cruzes81-70Sao Jose
Mogi das Cruzes79-75Sao Jose
Sao Jose70-75Mogi das Cruzes
Mogi das Cruzes78-68Sao Jose

Model analysis

Estimated points158.8Mogi das Cruzes 86.1 · Sao Jose 72.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mogi das Cruzes (rating 1610 vs 1419).
Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Mogi das Cruzes: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mogi das Cruzes	Sao Jose
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.2 / 74.9	77.6 / 83
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.8 / 72.6	86.4 / 75.8
Est. result	86	73

Est. total158.8

Line O/U160.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.87

Under 160.51.87

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 160.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Pinn 1.06
2	6.80 → 6.80	Pinn 6.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
01:11 +34’	1.06	6.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mogi das Cruzes 6–0–0 Sao Jose

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Brazil FPB	Sao Jose	77-102	Mogi das Cruzes
13/08/26 Brazil FPB	Mogi das Cruzes	101-67	Sao Jose
28/04/26 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	81-70	Sao Jose
25/04/26 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	79-75	Sao Jose
23/04/26 Brazil NBB	Sao Jose	70-75	Mogi das Cruzes
22/02/26 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	78-68	Sao Jose

Standings · Brazil FPB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Franca	7	6	1	544	468
2	Mogi das Cruzes	7	6	1	622	503
3	Corinthians	7	5	2	587	537
4	Bauru	7	4	3	550	539
5	Pinheiros	7	2	5	501	563
6	Sao Jose	7	2	5	569	553
7	Osasco	7	1	6	457	657
8	Paulistano	7	2	5	545	555

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mogi das Cruzes	Sao Jose
Franca	78-86 L	75-60 W
Corinthians	87-55 W	68-91 L
Osasco	89-74 W	114-45 W
Bauru	88-71 W	81-85 L
Paulistano	86-82 W	79-84 L
Pinheiros	93-68 W	85-87 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mogi das Cruzes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mogi das Cruzes

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	102-77	W
28/08	Franca Brazil FPB	78-86	L
22/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	87-55	W
21/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	89-74	W
15/08	Bauru Brazil FPB	88-71	W
13/08	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	101-67	W
09/08	Paulistano Brazil FPB	86-82	W
06/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	93-68	W
11/10	Franca Brazil FPB	68-97	L
10/10	Franca Brazil FPB	60-72	L

Sao Jose

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	77-102	L
28/08	Pinheiros Brazil FPB	85-87	L
23/08	Franca Brazil FPB	75-60	W
20/08	Bauru Brazil FPB	81-85	L
16/08	Osasco Brazil FPB	114-45	W
13/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	67-101	L
08/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	68-91	L
07/08	Paulistano Brazil FPB	79-84	L
02/10	Franca Brazil FPB	54-91	L
28/09	Franca Brazil FPB	76-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mogi das Cruzes vs Sao Jose?

Our model gives 83% to Mogi das Cruzes.

How many points are expected in Mogi das Cruzes vs Sao Jose?

The model estimates 158.8 total points (Mogi das Cruzes 86.1 · Sao Jose 72.7).