Basketball · Brazil NBB · 20/10, 23:00

Prediction: Flamengo vs Botafogo

Team pages: Flamengo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.3Total

Flamengo89.9

Botafogo75.4

1X2

85% 15%

Flamengo Botafogo

Recent form · 10 last

Flamengo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWLL

Botafogo 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Flamengo 6–0 Botafogo (6 last)

Flamengo99-66Botafogo
Botafogo77-97Flamengo
Botafogo89-102Flamengo
Flamengo104-71Botafogo
Botafogo85-92Flamengo
Flamengo91-67Botafogo

Model analysis

Estimated points165.3Flamengo 89.9 · Botafogo 75.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1603 vs 1390).
Flamengo is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Flamengo: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Flamengo	Botafogo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.8 / 80.1	76.9 / 87.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.8 / 81.2	80 / 94.2
Est. result	90	75

Est. total165.3

Line O/U164.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.89

Under 164.51.85

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 165.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02▼	Pinn 1.02
2	9.40 → 9.66▲	Pinn 9.66

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.2%

Time*	1	2
23:36 +10’	1.02	9.40
01:19 +27’	1.02▼	9.66▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flamengo 6–0–0 Botafogo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/10/26 Club Friendlies	Flamengo	99-66	Botafogo
24/09/26 Brazil Camp.Carioca	Botafogo	77-97	Flamengo
11/04/26 Brazil NBB	Botafogo	89-102	Flamengo
30/12/25 Brazil NBB	Flamengo	104-71	Botafogo
29/03/25 Brazil NBB	Botafogo	85-92	Flamengo
13/11/24 Brazil NBB	Flamengo	91-67	Botafogo

Standings · Brazil NBB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Unifacisa	1	1	0	96	70
2	Mogi das Cruzes	1	1	0	84	73
3	Cruzeiro	1	1	0	72	61
4	Bauru	1	1	0	82	81
5	Botafogo	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brasilia	0	0	0	0	0
5	Paulistano	0	0	0	0	0
5	Pinheiros	0	0	0	0	0
5	Uniao Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fortaleza BC	0	0	0	0	0
5	Minas	0	0	0	0	0
5	Pato Basquete	0	0	0	0	0
5	Sao Jose	0	0	0	0	0
5	Franca	0	0	0	0	0
15	Flamengo	1	0	1	81	82
16	Corinthians	1	0	1	73	84
17	Caxias Do Sul	1	0	1	61	72
18	Osasco	1	0	1	70	96

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flamengo

WLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Bauru Brazil NBB	81-82	L
16/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	69-72	L
14/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	96-88	W
10/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	90-98	L
09/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	83-66	W
06/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	80-85	L
01/05	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	104-77	W
28/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	90-77	W
25/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	83-84	L
23/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	102-72	W

Botafogo

WWLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/04	Franca Brazil NBB	78-82	L
26/04	Franca Brazil NBB	79-89	L
23/04	Franca Brazil NBB	68-94	L
18/04	CR Vasco Da Gama Brazil NBB	86-104	L
11/04	Flamengo Brazil NBB	89-102	L
10/04	Minas Brazil NBB	71-106	L
07/04	Cruzeiro Brazil NBB	80-70	W
04/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	72-86	L
24/03	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	78-71	W
22/03	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	68-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Our model gives 85% to Flamengo.

How many points are expected in Flamengo vs Botafogo?

The model estimates 165.3 total points (Flamengo 89.9 · Botafogo 75.4).