Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 06/09, 01:00

Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs A.Lobos BKB

Team pages: Isidro Metapan · A.Lobos BKB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.6Total

Isidro Metapan81

A.Lobos BKB73.6

1X2

70% 30%

Isidro Metapan A.Lobos BKB

Recent form · 10 last

Isidro Metapan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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A.Lobos BKB 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Isidro Metapan 4–2 A.Lobos BKB (6 last)

Isidro Metapan85-60A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB76-55Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan73-65A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB74-72Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan85-82A.Lobos BKB
Isidro Metapan89-71A.Lobos BKB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1592 · A.Lobos BKB 1577

	Isidro Metapan	A.Lobos BKB
Our model	65%	35%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 154.6 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -3.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.6Isidro Metapan 81 · A.Lobos BKB 73.6

Match keys

Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Isidro Metapan	A.Lobos BKB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.9 / 74.8	85.7 / 77.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74 / 71.4	71.4 / 74
Est. result	81	74

Est. total154.6

Line O/U158.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.31

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 158.51.83

Under 158.51.83

Diff.: 3.55 · Est. total: 162.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.31 → 1.31	Bet365 1.31
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.39 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	2
17:37 +10’	1.31	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:32 +15’	1.20	3.24
19:42 +4’	1.21▲	3.21▼
19:50 +55’	1.21▲	3.20▼
21:35 +11’	1.31▲	2.90▼
23:41 +4’	1.22▼	3.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 4–0–2 A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	85-60	A.Lobos BKB
07/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	76-55	Isidro Metapan
05/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	73-65	A.Lobos BKB
03/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	74-72	Isidro Metapan
01/07/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	85-82	A.Lobos BKB
05/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	89-71	A.Lobos BKB

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	1	1	0	80	57	2
2	Salvadorenos	1	1	0	97	83	2
3	CD Aguila	1	1	0	84	73	2
4	Santa Ana BC	1	0	1	73	84	1
5	San Salvador	1	0	1	83	97	1
6	A.Lobos BKB	1	0	1	57	80	1
7	Ahuachapan	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Brujos Izalco	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Cojutepeque	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santa Tecla	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Santiagueno	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isidro Metapan

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-60	W
07/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	55-76	L
05/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W
03/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-74	L
01/07	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-82	W
24/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-79	W
22/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-74	W
20/06	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-85	W
14/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	101-76	W
12/06	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-77	W

A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-85	L
07/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-55	W
05/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-73	L
03/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	74-72	W
01/07	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-85	L
25/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-84	W
23/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	97-81	W
21/06	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	107-89	W
15/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	104-72	W
13/06	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	103-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs A.Lobos BKB?

Our model gives 70% to Isidro Metapan.

How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs A.Lobos BKB?

The model estimates 154.6 total points (Isidro Metapan 81 · A.Lobos BKB 73.6).