Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 12/09, 03:15
Prediction: Brujos Izalco vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: Brujos Izalco · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.5Total
Brujos Izalco77.5
Santa Tecla74
1X2
Brujos Izalco
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
Brujos Izalco
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brujos Izalco
0–6
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Brujos Izalco60-82Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla77-63Brujos Izalco
- Santa Tecla89-83Brujos Izalco
- Brujos Izalco64-75Santa Tecla
- Brujos Izalco77-86Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla82-75Brujos Izalco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brujos Izalco 1415 · Santa Tecla 1515
| Brujos Izalco | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.5 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.5Brujos Izalco 77.5 · Santa Tecla 74
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Tecla (rating 1415 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Santa Tecla: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Brujos Izalco | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 69.6 / 80.7 | 75.1 / 80.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.2 / 95.6 | 74 / 92 |
| Est. result | 78 | 74 |
Est. total151.5
Line O/U156.5
Diff.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brujos Izalco 0–0–6 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 60-82 | Santa Tecla |
| 10/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 77-63 | Brujos Izalco |
| 28/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 89-83 | Brujos Izalco |
| 03/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 64-75 | Santa Tecla |
| 11/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Brujos Izalco | 77-86 | Santa Tecla |
| 02/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 82-75 | Brujos Izalco |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 224 | 5 |
| 2 | CD Aguila | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 149 | 4 |
| 3 | Salvadorenos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 174 | 166 | 3 |
| 4 | San Salvador | 2 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 183 | 3 |
| 5 | A.Lobos BKB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 145 | 136 | 3 |
| 6 | Santa Ana BC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 173 | 3 |
| 7 | Cojutepeque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 39 | 2 |
| 8 | Ahuachapan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 125 | 211 | 2 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 74 | 2 |
| 10 | Santa Tecla | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 177 | 2 |
| 11 | Brujos Izalco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 85 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brujos Izalco | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| A.Lobos BKB | 72-104 L | 56-88 L |
| Isidro Metapan | 84-92 L | 79-96 L |
| Salvadorenos | 61-54 W | 65-54 W |
| Cojutepeque | 68-64 W | 103-86 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Tecla (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brujos Izalco
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-85 | L |
| 15/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-104 | L |
| 13/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-103 | L |
| 11/06 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-94 | L |
| 04/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-92 | L |
| 30/05 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-80 | L |
| 27/05 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-78 | L |
| 25/05 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
61-53 | W |
| 23/05 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
61-54 | W |
| 17/05 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-64 | W |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-89 | L |
| 08/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
56-88 | L |
| 24/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-96 | L |
| 22/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-82 | L |
| 20/06 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-105 | L |
| 16/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-54 | W |
| 14/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-63 | W |
| 12/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-75 | L |
| 10/06 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-63 | W |
| 05/06 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
103-86 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brujos Izalco vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 60% to Brujos Izalco.
How many points are expected in Brujos Izalco vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 151.5 total points (Brujos Izalco 77.5 · Santa Tecla 74).