Basketball · Adriatic League · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Zadar vs Ilirija
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.4Total
Zadar81.3
Ilirija73.1
1X2
Zadar
Ilirija
Recent form · 10 last
Zadar
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Ilirija
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zadar
2–2
Ilirija
(4 last)
- Ilirija56-83Zadar
- Ilirija90-85Zadar
- Zadar74-69Ilirija
- Ilirija85-83Zadar
Model analysis
Estimated points154.4Zadar 81.3 · Ilirija 73.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zadar (rating 1602 vs 1530).
- Zadar is a clear favourite (72% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Zadar | Ilirija | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.3 / 72.9 | 83.2 / 81 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.2 / 78 | 80.8 / 77.2 |
| Est. result | 81 | 73 |
Est. total154.4
Line O/U158
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zadar 2–0–2 Ilirija
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/26 Club Friendlies | Ilirija | 56-83 | Zadar |
| 12/09/26 Club Friendlies | Ilirija | 90-85 | Zadar |
| 19/12/25 Adriatic League | Zadar | 74-69 | Ilirija |
| 12/10/25 Adriatic League | Ilirija | 85-83 | Zadar |
Standings · Adriatic League · ABA Liga 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partizan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 271 | 221 | 6 |
| 2 | BC Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 245 | 6 |
| 3 | Bosna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 259 | 5 |
| 4 | Spartak | 3 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 246 | 5 |
| 5 | Ilirija | 3 | 1 | 2 | 242 | 229 | 4 |
| 6 | Zadar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 231 | 4 |
| 7 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 265 | 4 |
| 8 | BC GGMT Vienna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 257 | 4 |
| 9 | Mega Leks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 261 | 4 |
| 10 | Studentski Centar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 246 | 287 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zadar | Ilirija |
|---|---|---|
| Mega Leks | 82-88 L | 96-62 W |
| Studentski Centar | 79-65 W | 74-75 L |
| Spartak | 68-86 L | 76-82 L |
| Krka | 75-65 W | 77-83 L |
| FMP | 76-65 W | 88-82 W |
| Borac Cacak | 67-65 W | 89-94 L |
| Split | 79-59 W | 98-84 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Zadar (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zadar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | BC GGMT Vienna Adriatic League |
63-78 | L |
| 11/10 | Mega Leks Adriatic League |
82-88 | L |
| 05/10 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
79-65 | W |
| 30/04 | Spartak Adriatic League |
68-86 | L |
| 27/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
59-73 | L |
| 17/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
75-65 | W |
| 14/04 | FMP Adriatic League |
76-65 | W |
| 03/04 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
67-65 | W |
| 31/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
55-85 | L |
| 27/03 | Split Adriatic League |
79-59 | W |
Ilirija
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Mega Leks Adriatic League |
96-62 | W |
| 10/10 | Spartak Adriatic League |
76-82 | L |
| 04/10 | BC Dubai Adriatic League |
70-85 | L |
| 25/04 | FMP Adriatic League |
88-82 | W |
| 19/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
74-75 | L |
| 13/04 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
89-94 | L |
| 01/04 | Split Adriatic League |
98-84 | W |
| 29/03 | Krka Adriatic League |
77-83 | L |
| 21/03 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
91-87 | W |
| 19/03 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
73-76 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zadar vs Ilirija?
Our model gives 72% to Zadar.
How many points are expected in Zadar vs Ilirija?
The model estimates 154.4 total points (Zadar 81.3 · Ilirija 73.1).