Basketball · Adriatic League · 16/10, 20:30
Prediction: BC GGMT Vienna vs Zadar
Team pages: BC GGMT Vienna · Zadar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.5Total
BC GGMT Vienna76.8
Zadar80.7
1X2
BC GGMT Vienna
Zadar
Recent form · 10 last
BC GGMT Vienna
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Zadar
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BC GGMT Vienna
0–2
Zadar
(2 last)
- BC GGMT Vienna77-86Zadar
- Zadar98-78BC GGMT Vienna
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BC GGMT Vienna 1409 · Zadar 1618
| BC GGMT Vienna | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.5 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -10
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.5BC GGMT Vienna 76.8 · Zadar 80.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zadar (rating 1409 vs 1618).
- H2H favours Zadar: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BC GGMT Vienna | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.4 / 89.1 | 70.9 / 71.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.6 / 94.8 | 72.6 / 75.4 |
| Est. result | 77 | 81 |
Est. total157.5
Line O/U167.5
Diff.10
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BC GGMT Vienna 0–0–2 Zadar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Adriatic League | BC GGMT Vienna | 77-86 | Zadar |
| 05/12/25 Adriatic League | Zadar | 98-78 | BC GGMT Vienna |
Standings · Adriatic League · ABA Liga 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partizan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 137 | 4 |
| 2 | Bosna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 170 | 4 |
| 3 | BC Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 155 | 4 |
| 4 | Zadar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 161 | 153 | 3 |
| 5 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 176 | 3 |
| 6 | Spartak | 2 | 1 | 1 | 161 | 171 | 3 |
| 7 | Mega Leks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 165 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilirija | 2 | 0 | 2 | 146 | 167 | 2 |
| 9 | Studentski Centar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 179 | 2 |
| 10 | BC GGMT Vienna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 194 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BC GGMT Vienna | Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Krka | 73-97 L | 75-65 W |
| FMP | 92-84 W | 76-65 W |
| Split | 86-99 L | 79-59 W |
| Studentski Centar | 72-83 L | 79-65 W |
| Borac Cacak | 84-81 W | 67-65 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zadar (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BC GGMT Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Partizan Adriatic League |
78-99 | L |
| 03/10 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj Adriatic League |
84-95 | L |
| 27/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
73-97 | L |
| 20/04 | FMP Adriatic League |
92-84 | W |
| 10/04 | Split Adriatic League |
86-99 | L |
| 04/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
72-83 | L |
| 26/03 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
84-81 | W |
| 22/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
89-98 | L |
| 18/03 | Split Adriatic League |
85-76 | W |
| 14/03 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
91-79 | W |
Zadar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Mega Leks Adriatic League |
82-88 | L |
| 05/10 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
79-65 | W |
| 30/04 | Spartak Adriatic League |
68-86 | L |
| 27/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
59-73 | L |
| 17/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
75-65 | W |
| 14/04 | FMP Adriatic League |
76-65 | W |
| 03/04 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
67-65 | W |
| 31/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
55-85 | L |
| 27/03 | Split Adriatic League |
79-59 | W |
| 23/03 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
69-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BC GGMT Vienna vs Zadar?
Our model gives 61% to Zadar.
How many points are expected in BC GGMT Vienna vs Zadar?
The model estimates 157.5 total points (BC GGMT Vienna 76.8 · Zadar 80.7).