Basketball · Adriatic League · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: BC GGMT Vienna vs Mega Leks
Team pages: BC GGMT Vienna · Mega Leks
Prediction summary
Estimated points
174Total
BC GGMT Vienna89.3
Mega Leks84.7
1X2
BC GGMT Vienna
Mega Leks
Recent form · 10 last
BC GGMT Vienna
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Mega Leks
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BC GGMT Vienna
1–1
Mega Leks
(2 last)
- Mega Leks100-98BC GGMT Vienna
- BC GGMT Vienna88-81Mega Leks
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BC GGMT Vienna 1414 · Mega Leks 1489
| BC GGMT Vienna | Mega Leks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
174 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +10.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points174BC GGMT Vienna 89.3 · Mega Leks 84.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mega Leks (rating 1414 vs 1489).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BC GGMT Vienna | Mega Leks | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.1 / 87.5 | 82.5 / 86.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81 / 87.6 | 80.4 / 84.4 |
| Est. result | 89 | 85 |
Est. total174
Line O/U163.5
Diff.10.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BC GGMT Vienna 1–0–1 Mega Leks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 Adriatic League | Mega Leks | 100-98 | BC GGMT Vienna |
| 17/10/25 Adriatic League | BC GGMT Vienna | 88-81 | Mega Leks |
Standings · Adriatic League · ABA Liga 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partizan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 271 | 221 | 6 |
| 2 | BC Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 245 | 6 |
| 3 | Bosna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 279 | 259 | 5 |
| 4 | Spartak | 3 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 246 | 5 |
| 5 | Ilirija | 3 | 1 | 2 | 242 | 229 | 4 |
| 6 | Zadar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 231 | 4 |
| 7 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 265 | 4 |
| 8 | BC GGMT Vienna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 257 | 4 |
| 9 | Mega Leks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 261 | 4 |
| 10 | Studentski Centar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 246 | 287 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BC GGMT Vienna | Mega Leks |
|---|---|---|
| Zadar | 78-63 W | 88-82 W |
| Partizan | 78-99 L | 59-83 L |
| Krka | 73-97 L | 103-98 W |
| FMP | 92-84 W | 79-84 L |
| Split | 86-99 L | 95-72 W |
| Studentski Centar | 72-83 L | 85-89 L |
| Borac Cacak | 84-81 W | 98-89 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mega Leks (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BC GGMT Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Zadar Adriatic League |
78-63 | W |
| 11/10 | Partizan Adriatic League |
78-99 | L |
| 03/10 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj Adriatic League |
84-95 | L |
| 27/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
73-97 | L |
| 20/04 | FMP Adriatic League |
92-84 | W |
| 10/04 | Split Adriatic League |
86-99 | L |
| 04/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
72-83 | L |
| 26/03 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
84-81 | W |
| 22/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
89-98 | L |
| 18/03 | Split Adriatic League |
85-76 | W |
Mega Leks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Ilirija Adriatic League |
62-96 | L |
| 11/10 | Zadar Adriatic League |
88-82 | W |
| 05/10 | Partizan Adriatic League |
59-83 | L |
| 26/04 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
98-89 | W |
| 20/04 | Split Adriatic League |
95-72 | W |
| 13/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
85-89 | L |
| 06/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
103-98 | W |
| 28/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
79-84 | L |
| 22/03 | Split Adriatic League |
74-96 | L |
| 19/03 | Krka Adriatic League |
82-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BC GGMT Vienna vs Mega Leks?
Our model gives 63% to BC GGMT Vienna.
How many points are expected in BC GGMT Vienna vs Mega Leks?
The model estimates 174 total points (BC GGMT Vienna 89.3 · Mega Leks 84.7).