Basketball · Uruguay Liga Women · 30/08, 01:30
Prediction: Urunday Universitario (W) vs Tabare (W)
Team pages: Urunday Universitario (W) · Tabare (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
141.7Total
Urunday Universitario (W)73.5
Tabare (W)68.2
1X2
Urunday Universitario (W)
Tabare (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Urunday Universitario (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Tabare (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Urunday Universitario (W)
5–1
Tabare (W)
(6 last)
- Tabare (W)79-59Urunday Universitario (W)
- Urunday Universitario (W)69-54Tabare (W)
- Urunday Universitario (W)82-53Tabare (W)
- Tabare (W)60-68Urunday Universitario (W)
- Urunday Universitario (W)82-43Tabare (W)
- Tabare (W)60-83Urunday Universitario (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Urunday Universitario (W) 1521 · Tabare (W) 1465
| Urunday Universitario (W) | Tabare (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.7 points · Bet365 line 128.5 · +13.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points141.7Urunday Universitario (W) 73.5 · Tabare (W) 68.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urunday Universitario (W) (rating 1521 vs 1465).
- Urunday Universitario (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Urunday Universitario (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Urunday Universitario (W) | Tabare (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 69.1 / 67.7 | 59.3 / 62.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 64.4 / 72.6 | 61.4 / 63.8 |
| Est. result | 74 | 68 |
Est. total141.7
Line O/U128.5
Diff.13.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Urunday Universitario (W) 5–0–1 Tabare (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 79-59 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 26/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Urunday Universitario (W) | 69-54 | Tabare (W) |
| 30/04/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Urunday Universitario (W) | 82-53 | Tabare (W) |
| 07/09/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 60-68 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
| 28/07/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Urunday Universitario (W) | 82-43 | Tabare (W) |
| 15/05/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Tabare (W) | 60-83 | Urunday Universitario (W) |
Standings · Uruguay Liga Women · LFB, Women 2026, Qualifying Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urunday Universitario (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 366 | 294 | 10 |
| 2 | Tabare (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 330 | 285 | 8 |
| 3 | Cordon (W) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 303 | 333 | 7 |
| 4 | 25 de Agosto (W) | 5 | 0 | 5 | 297 | 384 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Urunday Universitario (W) | Tabare (W) |
|---|---|---|
| 25 de Agosto (W) | 74-58 W | 78-53 W |
| Cordon (W) | 67-61 W | 58-61 L |
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 60-74 L | 48-78 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Urunday Universitario (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urunday Universitario (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
65-92 | L |
| 16/08 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
57-73 | L |
| 27/07 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
59-79 | L |
| 12/07 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
74-58 | W |
| 05/07 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-61 | W |
| 26/06 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
69-54 | W |
| 14/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
76-66 | W |
| 07/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-55 | W |
| 01/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
84-65 | W |
| 22/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
60-74 | L |
Tabare (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
48-61 | L |
| 16/08 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
44-85 | L |
| 27/07 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
79-59 | W |
| 13/07 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
58-61 | L |
| 05/07 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
78-53 | W |
| 26/06 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
54-69 | L |
| 14/06 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
60-50 | W |
| 08/06 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-52 | W |
| 31/05 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
48-78 | L |
| 28/05 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
44-56 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urunday Universitario (W) vs Tabare (W)?
Our model gives 65% to Urunday Universitario (W).
How many points are expected in Urunday Universitario (W) vs Tabare (W)?
The model estimates 141.7 total points (Urunday Universitario (W) 73.5 · Tabare (W) 68.2).