Basketball · Uruguay Liga Women · 04/09, 02:00
Prediction: Malvin (W) vs Aguada (W)
Team pages: Malvin (W) · Aguada (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
144.5Total
Malvin (W)76.1
Aguada (W)68.4
1X2
Malvin (W)
Aguada (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Malvin (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Aguada (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malvin (W)
5–1
Aguada (W)
(6 last)
- Aguada (W)80-65Malvin (W)
- Malvin (W)80-58Aguada (W)
- Aguada (W)67-82Malvin (W)
- Malvin (W)67-59Aguada (W)
- Malvin (W)77-63Aguada (W)
- Aguada (W)58-88Malvin (W)
Model analysis
Estimated points144.5Malvin (W) 76.1 · Aguada (W) 68.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malvin (W) (rating 1591 vs 1525).
- Malvin (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Malvin (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Malvin (W) | Aguada (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 69.5 / 60.5 | 73.7 / 70 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.6 / 59.4 | 74 / 69.8 |
| Est. result | 76 | 68 |
Est. total144.5
Line O/U137.5
Diff.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malvin (W) 5–0–1 Aguada (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 80-65 | Malvin (W) |
| 27/08/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Malvin (W) | 80-58 | Aguada (W) |
| 24/07/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 67-82 | Malvin (W) |
| 28/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Malvin (W) | 67-59 | Aguada (W) |
| 30/04/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Malvin (W) | 77-63 | Aguada (W) |
| 10/08/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 58-88 | Malvin (W) |
Standings · Uruguay Liga Women · LFB, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Defensor Sporting (W) | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1248 | 877 | 31 |
| 2 | Malvin (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1165 | 868 | 30 |
| 3 | Aguada (W) | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1138 | 1124 | 25 |
| 4 | Club Yale Women | 16 | 6 | 10 | 909 | 1125 | 22 |
| 5 | Lagomar (W) | 16 | 5 | 11 | 973 | 961 | 21 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malvin (W) | Aguada (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 49-83 L | 67-80 L |
| Lagomar (W) | 64-53 W | 61-53 W |
| Club Yale Women | 76-58 W | 95-54 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aguada (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malvin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
65-80 | L |
| 27/08 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-58 | W |
| 20/08 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
61-48 | W |
| 16/08 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
85-44 | W |
| 24/07 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
82-67 | W |
| 12/07 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
49-83 | L |
| 09/07 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
64-53 | W |
| 04/07 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
76-58 | W |
| 28/06 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-59 | W |
| 18/06 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
66-55 | W |
Aguada (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
80-65 | W |
| 27/08 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
58-80 | L |
| 20/08 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
92-65 | W |
| 16/08 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
73-57 | W |
| 24/07 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-82 | L |
| 17/07 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
67-80 | L |
| 13/07 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
61-53 | W |
| 10/07 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
95-54 | W |
| 28/06 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
59-67 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
85-97 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malvin (W) vs Aguada (W)?
Our model gives 71% to Malvin (W).
How many points are expected in Malvin (W) vs Aguada (W)?
The model estimates 144.5 total points (Malvin (W) 76.1 · Aguada (W) 68.4).