Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 27/09, 19:00

Prediction: Zadar vs Samobor

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164Total

Zadar88.7

Samobor75.3

1X2

83% 17%

Zadar Samobor

Recent form · 10 last

Zadar 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWLL

Samobor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Zadar 4–0 Samobor (4 last)

Samobor84-88Zadar
Zadar84-67Samobor
Samobor80-99Zadar
Samobor55-87Zadar

Model analysis

Estimated points164Zadar 88.7 · Samobor 75.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zadar (rating 1660 vs 1475).
Zadar is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Zadar: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zadar	Samobor
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.6 / 69.4	84 / 84.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.6 / 71.2	84 / 81.6
Est. result	89	75

Est. total164

Line O/U163

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1631.86

Under 1631.88

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 161.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.03▼	Pinn 1.03
2	8.07 → 8.20▲	Pinn 8.20

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.8%

Time*	1	2
19:09 +2’	1.04	8.07
19:48 +26’	1.03▼	8.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zadar 4–0–0 Samobor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Samobor	84-88	Zadar
09/01/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Zadar	84-67	Samobor
17/10/25 Croatia A1 Liga	Samobor	80-99	Zadar
16/12/24 Croatia Cup	Samobor	55-87	Zadar

Standings · Croatia A1 Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alkar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cedevita Junior	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cibona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dinamo Zagreb	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Furnir Dubrava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KK Dubrovnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kvarner 2010	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Samobor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Skrljevo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zabok	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zadar	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zadar	Samobor
Cibona	75-82 L	83-89 L
KK Dubrovnik	81-68 W	69-77 L
Kvarner 2010	96-72 W	92-81 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zadar (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zadar

WWWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	75-82	L
07/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	67-73	L
05/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	87-70	W
02/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	92-57	W
31/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	72-74	L
25/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-68	W
22/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	83-57	W
16/05	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	96-72	W
13/05	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	90-70	W
10/05	GKK Sibenik Croatia A1 Liga	113-71	W

Samobor

WLLLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	69-77	L
13/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-86	L
09/05	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga	110-91	W
02/05	Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga	76-66	W
29/04	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	84-88	L
24/04	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	92-81	W
19/04	Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga	75-88	L
12/04	Split Croatia A1 Liga	81-94	L
03/04	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	83-89	L
29/03	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	89-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zadar vs Samobor?

Our model gives 83% to Zadar.

How many points are expected in Zadar vs Samobor?

The model estimates 164 total points (Zadar 88.7 · Samobor 75.3).