Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 18/10, 19:00

Prediction: Split vs Zadar

Team pages: Split · Zadar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.6Total

Split77.5

Zadar76.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Split Zadar

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Split 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWWW

Zadar 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Split 2–4 Zadar (6 last)

Zadar90-67Split
Split59-79Zadar
Zadar106-77Split
Split89-86Zadar
Zadar82-67Split
Split88-82Zadar

Model analysis

Estimated points153.6Split 77.5 · Zadar 76.1

Match keys

H2H favours Zadar: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Split	Zadar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.8 / 77.4	83.2 / 66.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84 / 71.4	83.4 / 67.8
Est. result	78	76

Est. total153.6

Line O/U152

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1521.87

Under 1521.87

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 155.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.06	Pinn 2.06
2	1.71 → 1.71	Pinn 1.71

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
19:10 +4’	2.06	1.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Split 2–0–4 Zadar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Zadar	90-67	Split
27/03/26 Adriatic League	Split	59-79	Zadar
06/03/26 Adriatic League	Zadar	106-77	Split
21/02/26 Croatia Cup	Split	89-86	Zadar
30/01/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Zadar	82-67	Split
16/11/25 Croatia A1 Liga	Split	88-82	Zadar

Standings · Croatia A1 Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cibona	4	4	0	353	315	8
2	Zadar	3	3	0	275	184	6
3	Skrljevo	4	2	2	327	348	6
4	Split	3	3	0	261	201	6
5	Cedevita Junior	3	2	1	241	264	5
6	Dinamo Zagreb	3	2	1	229	263	5
7	Kvarner 2010	3	1	2	266	245	4
8	KK Dubrovnik	3	1	2	243	254	4
9	Alkar	3	1	2	246	263	4
10	Zabok	3	0	3	241	272	3
11	Samobor	3	0	3	214	249	3
12	Furnir Dubrava	3	0	3	218	256	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Split	Zadar
KK Dubrovnik	81-66 W	81-68 W
Cibona	76-78 L	75-82 L
Cedevita Junior	87-70 W	87-56 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Split (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Split

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga	86-62	W
02/10	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	94-73	W
26/09	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-66	W
28/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	76-78	L
25/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	83-78	W
22/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	79-84	L
17/05	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	99-93	W
13/05	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	86-80	W
09/05	Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga	87-70	W
03/05	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	67-90	L

Zadar

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/10	Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga	87-56	W
02/10	Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga	107-69	W
27/09	Samobor Croatia A1 Liga	81-59	W
10/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	75-82	L
07/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	67-73	L
05/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	87-70	W
02/06	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	92-57	W
31/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	72-74	L
25/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-68	W
22/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	83-57	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Split vs Zadar?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Split 54% · Zadar 46%).

How many points are expected in Split vs Zadar?

The model estimates 153.6 total points (Split 77.5 · Zadar 76.1).