Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 07/11, 20:15

Prediction: Samobor vs Split

Team pages: Samobor · Split

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.3Total

Samobor83.6

Split84.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Samobor Split

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Samobor 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLW

Split 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Samobor 0–3 Split (3 last)

Split94-81Samobor
Samobor86-122Split
Split75-71Samobor

Model analysis

Estimated points168.3Samobor 83.6 · Split 84.7

Match keys

H2H favours Split: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Samobor	Split
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.7 / 84.1	82.8 / 78.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.4 / 86.6	82 / 77.4
Est. result	84	85

Est. total168.3

Line O/U160

Diff.8.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1601.89

Under 1601.85

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 163.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.17 → 3.17	Pinn 3.17
2	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	2
20:45 +19’	3.17	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Samobor 0–0–3 Split

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Split	94-81	Samobor
19/12/25 Croatia A1 Liga	Samobor	86-122	Split
26/09/25 Croatia A1 Liga	Split	75-71	Samobor

Standings · Croatia A1 Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zadar	6	6	0	551	389	12
2	Cibona	6	6	0	544	463	12
3	Kvarner 2010	6	4	2	542	478	10
4	Split	6	4	2	491	453	10
5	Dinamo Zagreb	6	4	2	460	487	10
6	Skrljevo	6	3	3	484	510	9
7	Virtus Zagreb	6	3	3	480	537	9
8	KK Dubrovnik	6	2	4	479	530	8
9	Zabok	6	2	4	475	502	8
10	Alkar	6	1	5	474	507	7
11	Samobor	6	1	5	461	506	7
12	Furnir Dubrava	6	0	6	441	520	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Samobor	Split
Zabok	72-79 L	99-93 W
Alkar	91-95 L	76-75 W
Zadar	59-81 L	73-84 L
KK Dubrovnik	69-77 L	81-66 W
Furnir Dubrava	76-66 W	86-62 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Split (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samobor

LWWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Virtus Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga	97-89	W
23/10	Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga	78-89	L
17/10	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	72-79	L
04/10	Alkar Croatia A1 Liga	91-95	L
27/09	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	59-81	L
16/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	69-77	L
13/05	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-86	L
09/05	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga	110-91	W
02/05	Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga	76-66	W
29/04	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	84-88	L

Split

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	81-93	L
25/10	Alkar Croatia A1 Liga	76-75	W
18/10	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	73-84	L
10/10	Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga	86-62	W
02/10	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	94-73	W
26/09	KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga	81-66	W
28/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	76-78	L
25/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	83-78	W
22/05	Cibona Croatia A1 Liga	79-84	L
17/05	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	99-93	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samobor vs Split?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Samobor 47% · Split 53%).

How many points are expected in Samobor vs Split?

The model estimates 168.3 total points (Samobor 83.6 · Split 84.7).