Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 15/11, 18:00
Prediction: Furnir Dubrava vs Zadar
Team pages: Furnir Dubrava · Zadar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.8Total
Furnir Dubrava70.8
Zadar86
1X2
Furnir Dubrava
Zadar
Recent form · 10 last
Furnir Dubrava
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Zadar
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Furnir Dubrava
1–5
Zadar
(6 last)
- Furnir Dubrava92-81Zadar
- Furnir Dubrava80-85Zadar
- Zadar100-93Furnir Dubrava
- Zadar105-74Furnir Dubrava
- Zadar101-83Furnir Dubrava
- Furnir Dubrava69-95Zadar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Furnir Dubrava 1395 · Zadar 1614
| Furnir Dubrava | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.8 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -5.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.8Furnir Dubrava 70.8 · Zadar 86
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zadar (rating 1395 vs 1614).
- Zadar is a clear favourite (86% market).
- H2H favours Zadar: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Furnir Dubrava | Zadar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.8 / 86.7 | 88.9 / 69.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.2 / 85 | 94.4 / 68.2 |
| Est. result | 71 | 86 |
Est. total156.8
Line O/U162.5
Diff.5.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Furnir Dubrava 1–0–5 Zadar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Furnir Dubrava | 92-81 | Zadar |
| 14/01/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Furnir Dubrava | 80-85 | Zadar |
| 29/11/25 Croatia Cup | Zadar | 100-93 | Furnir Dubrava |
| 27/10/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Zadar | 105-74 | Furnir Dubrava |
| 30/08/25 Club Friendlies | Zadar | 101-83 | Furnir Dubrava |
| 03/04/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Furnir Dubrava | 69-95 | Zadar |
Standings · Croatia A1 Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar | 7 | 7 | 0 | 660 | 469 | 14 |
| 2 | Cibona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 632 | 538 | 14 |
| 3 | Split | 7 | 5 | 2 | 573 | 530 | 12 |
| 4 | Kvarner 2010 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 622 | 587 | 11 |
| 5 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 4 | 3 | 535 | 575 | 11 |
| 6 | Skrljevo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 587 | 587 | 11 |
| 7 | Virtus Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 4 | 557 | 640 | 10 |
| 8 | KK Dubrovnik | 7 | 2 | 5 | 551 | 621 | 9 |
| 9 | Alkar | 7 | 2 | 5 | 565 | 579 | 9 |
| 10 | Zabok | 7 | 2 | 5 | 550 | 583 | 9 |
| 11 | Samobor | 7 | 1 | 6 | 538 | 588 | 8 |
| 12 | Furnir Dubrava | 7 | 1 | 6 | 522 | 595 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Furnir Dubrava | Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Kvarner 2010 | 81-95 L | 109-80 W |
| KK Dubrovnik | 80-84 L | 105-71 W |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 62-85 L | 87-61 W |
| Split | 62-86 L | 84-73 W |
| Cedevita Junior | 84-89 L | 87-56 W |
| Skrljevo | 72-81 L | 107-69 W |
| Cibona | 87-92 L | 75-82 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 7 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zadar (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Furnir Dubrava
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Zabok Croatia A1 Liga |
81-75 | W |
| 31/10 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
81-95 | L |
| 24/10 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
80-84 | L |
| 17/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
62-85 | L |
| 10/10 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
62-86 | L |
| 02/10 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
84-89 | L |
| 26/09 | Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga |
72-81 | L |
| 19/05 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
87-92 | L |
| 16/05 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
86-84 | W |
| 13/05 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
73-96 | L |
Zadar
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
109-80 | W |
| 30/10 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
105-71 | W |
| 23/10 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
87-61 | W |
| 18/10 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
84-73 | W |
| 12/10 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
87-56 | W |
| 02/10 | Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga |
107-69 | W |
| 27/09 | Samobor Croatia A1 Liga |
81-59 | W |
| 10/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
75-82 | L |
| 07/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
67-73 | L |
| 05/06 | Cibona Croatia A1 Liga |
87-70 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Furnir Dubrava vs Zadar?
Our model gives 86% to Zadar.
How many points are expected in Furnir Dubrava vs Zadar?
The model estimates 156.8 total points (Furnir Dubrava 70.8 · Zadar 86).