Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: KK Dubrovnik vs Cibona

Team pages: KK Dubrovnik · Cibona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161Total

KK Dubrovnik74.6

Cibona86.4

1X2

20% 80%

KK Dubrovnik Cibona

Recent form · 10 last

KK Dubrovnik 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLL

Cibona 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

KK Dubrovnik 1–5 Cibona (6 last)

Cibona79-62KK Dubrovnik
Cibona82-77KK Dubrovnik
KK Dubrovnik79-63Cibona
Cibona103-89KK Dubrovnik
Cibona88-68KK Dubrovnik
KK Dubrovnik79-84Cibona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KK Dubrovnik 1422 · Cibona 1557

	KK Dubrovnik	Cibona
Our model	44%	56%
Market	14%	86%

Estimated total (ours) 161 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161KK Dubrovnik 74.6 · Cibona 86.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibona (rating 1422 vs 1557).
Cibona is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Cibona: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KK Dubrovnik	Cibona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.3 / 85.4	81.5 / 78.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80 / 89.2	91.8 / 78
Est. result	75	86

Est. total161

Line O/U165.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.80

2 (-13.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 160.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
11:07 +41’	6.50	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:00 +1’	6.19	1.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KK Dubrovnik 1–0–5 Cibona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Cibona	79-62	KK Dubrovnik
17/01/26 Croatia A1 Liga	Cibona	82-77	KK Dubrovnik
02/11/25 Croatia A1 Liga	KK Dubrovnik	79-63	Cibona
04/04/25 Croatia A1 Liga	Cibona	103-89	KK Dubrovnik
16/12/24 Croatia A1 Liga	Cibona	88-68	KK Dubrovnik
28/09/24 Croatia A1 Liga	KK Dubrovnik	79-84	Cibona

Standings · Croatia A1 Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zadar	7	7	0	660	469	14
2	Cibona	7	7	0	632	538	14
3	Split	7	5	2	573	530	12
4	Kvarner 2010	7	4	3	622	587	11
5	Dinamo Zagreb	7	4	3	535	575	11
6	Skrljevo	7	4	3	587	587	11
7	Virtus Zagreb	7	3	4	557	640	10
8	KK Dubrovnik	7	2	5	551	621	9
9	Alkar	7	2	5	565	579	9
10	Zabok	7	2	5	550	583	9
11	Samobor	7	1	6	538	588	8
12	Furnir Dubrava	7	1	6	522	595	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KK Dubrovnik	Cibona
Alkar	72-91 L	84-78 W
Zadar	71-105 L	82-75 W
Dinamo Zagreb	85-94 L	88-75 W
Split	66-81 L	93-81 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cibona (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KK Dubrovnik

WLLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Alkar Croatia A1 Liga	72-91	L
30/10	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	71-105	L
24/10	Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga	84-80	W
17/10	Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga	81-91	L
10/10	Zabok Croatia A1 Liga	92-79	W
03/10	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga	85-94	L
26/09	Split Croatia A1 Liga	66-81	L
25/05	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	68-81	L
22/05	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	57-83	L
16/05	Samobor Croatia A1 Liga	77-69	W

Cibona

WLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga	88-75	W
31/10	Split Croatia A1 Liga	93-81	W
25/10	Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga	98-67	W
14/10	Skrljevo Croatia A1 Liga	96-89	W
27/09	Alkar Croatia A1 Liga	84-78	W
10/06	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	82-75	W
07/06	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	73-67	W
05/06	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	70-87	L
02/06	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	57-92	L
31/05	Zadar Croatia A1 Liga	74-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KK Dubrovnik vs Cibona?

Our model gives 80% to Cibona.

How many points are expected in KK Dubrovnik vs Cibona?

The model estimates 161 total points (KK Dubrovnik 74.6 · Cibona 86.4).