Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 19/08, 01:15
Prediction: Marne vs Albatros
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.5Total
Marne83.7
Albatros78.7
1X2
Marne
Albatros
Recent form · 10 last
Marne
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Albatros
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marne
3–3
Albatros
(6 last)
- Albatros90-78Marne
- Albatros66-68Marne
- Marne73-62Albatros
- Marne67-69Albatros
- Marne81-80Albatros
- Albatros95-82Marne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marne 1449 · Albatros 1393
| Marne | Albatros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.5 points · Bet365 line 162.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.5Marne 83.7 · Albatros 78.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marne (rating 1449 vs 1393).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Marne | Albatros | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.3 / 82.1 | 76.1 / 88.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77 / 88.6 | 80.2 / 89 |
| Est. result | 84 | 79 |
Est. total162.5
Line O/U162.5
Diff.0
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marne 3–0–3 Albatros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Albatros | 90-78 | Marne |
| 13/09/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Albatros | 66-68 | Marne |
| 09/09/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 73-62 | Albatros |
| 25/07/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 67-69 | Albatros |
| 01/12/23 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 81-80 | Albatros |
| 22/10/22 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Albatros | 95-82 | Marne |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1320 | 1252 | 23 |
| 2 | Larre Borges | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1213 | 1221 | 22 |
| 3 | Olivol Mundial | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1041 | 1130 | 20 |
| 4 | Marne | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1117 | 1244 | 19 |
| 5 | Albatros | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1168 | 1338 | 17 |
| 6 | Colon | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1047 | 1274 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marne | Albatros |
|---|---|---|
| Larre Borges | 84-94 L | 85-87 L |
| Montevideo | 90-82 W | 87-96 L |
| Lagomar | 70-82 L | 85-94 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 74-83 L | 85-96 L |
| Sayago | 73-77 L | 72-87 L |
| Trouville | 74-73 W | 67-103 L |
| Olivol Mundial | 74-68 W | 66-70 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Marne (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marne
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-94 | L |
| 06/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-82 | W |
| 29/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-82 | L |
| 26/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-102 | L |
| 21/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-83 | L |
| 18/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
| 15/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-73 | W |
| 12/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-68 | W |
| 07/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-88 | L |
| 04/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-72 | L |
Albatros
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-96 | L |
| 11/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-74 | L |
| 28/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-94 | L |
| 25/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-87 | L |
| 21/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-94 | L |
| 17/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-85 | L |
| 14/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-96 | L |
| 11/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-87 | L |
| 08/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-103 | L |
| 05/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-70 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marne vs Albatros?
Our model gives 64% to Marne.
How many points are expected in Marne vs Albatros?
The model estimates 162.5 total points (Marne 83.7 · Albatros 78.7).